KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 64%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
351 €
Liquidität
8861,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
35.0% / 39.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
11. Mai 26, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
KalshiWill J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Donald TrumpFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNew York TimesCBSthe White HouseThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressPolitico
- For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must:
- Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context
- Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 64% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? entschieden?
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.