KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Apr 1, 2027 34.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Before Apr 1, 2027 34.5%Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
606,1 €
Open Interest
466.998 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
16. Sept. 26, 16:45 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 18, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Apr 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Donald TrumpFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNew York TimesCBSthe White HouseThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressPoliticoDonald Trump's official social media accountsTrump OrganizationSave America PACThe InformationMSNBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 18, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.