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Daten vom 14.11.2026, 06:57 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 51%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Before Jul 1, 2027 51%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12,5 €
Open Interest
1157 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
6. Nov. 26, 21:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
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PolymarketWill Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiWho will Trump publicly praise by November 30?
PolymarketRegeln
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Fox NewsThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNew York TimesCBSthe White HouseThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressPoliticoDonald Trump's official social media accountsTrump OrganizationSave America PACThe InformationMSNBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of JD Vance The criticism must be directed at JD Vance by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to JD Vance in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning JD Vance in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes JD Vance before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.