PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 60.4%
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5,8 €
Liquidität
2625,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
31. März 26, 20:1831. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes40%
Volumentrend
$77. Juli19T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
5039,6 €Delcy Rodríguez: 92%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Deportations in 2026?
3503,8 €Above 500,000: 40%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
3467,3 €Anduril: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
2070,3 €Vladimir Putin: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1212,7 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SBF released from custody in 2026?
320,9 €Ja: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.