PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 88%+1.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7688,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.0% / 15.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 13:29 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhen will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+11 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
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+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
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- 402.675,3 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.8pt56.8%
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+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+3.0pt58%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt42%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
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- 216.269,1 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? entschieden?
- Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.