KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 1 5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4844 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 00:00 UTC1. Okt. 26, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which bills will become law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich bills will become law in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law is the named outcome before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:United States Congress
- Each of the 12 regular appropriations categories is counted separately.
- A standalone appropriations law counts as one, while an omnibus or minibus counts once for each regular appropriations bill enacted within it; for example, a package containing four regular appropriations divisions counts as four.
- Continuing resolutions, supplemental appropriations, and other funding measures do not count unless they enact one or more of the 12 regular appropriations bills.
- A regular appropriations bill counts regardless of its legislative vehicle, bill number, or whether it is enacted as a division of a broader law.
- For example, in FY2019 the applicable number is 5: two minibuses covering Energy-Water, Legislative Branch, Military Construction–VA, Defense, and Labor-HHS-Education were enacted before October 1.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 558.057,8 €
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- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 1 mit 5% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026? entschieden?
- How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law is the named outcome before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.