KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 09.09.2026, 00:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Apr 1, 2027 19%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2627,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 20:44 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
PolymarketWill a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Apr 1, 2027 mit 19% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? entschieden?
- Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.