KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 30 30.3%-17.0ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,9 €
Liquidität
92.029,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC5. Jan. 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of October? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Above 30 mit 30% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? entschieden?
- How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? soll am 5. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.