Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
GeopolitikQuarterlyRussland / Ukraine2Mon
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 73%
Nein 73%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3044 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
12
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether a ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine will be formally reached at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying outcome means an officially announced ceasefire or peace agreement accepted by both parties.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, or jointly acknowledged agreements communicated through official channels.
- If an officially announced ceasefire or peace agreement accepted by both Russia and Ukraine is confirmed during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary battlefield pauses, unilateral declarations, or unaccepted proposals will not count.