This set of markets predicts when OpenAI's GPT-6 model will be made available to the general public.
Each of the markets below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes”.
A market resolves to "Yes" if GPT-6 is launched and publicly accessible — including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups — on or before the market's deadline.
A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (for example, ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4.