PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 31 88%+0.5ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
20.495,3 €
Liquidität
20.268,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
16
7d-Änderung
-8.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
1. Aug. 26, 21:5231. Okt. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Regeln
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 201.005,8 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,8 Mio. €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.541,3 €
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30.184,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.528,3 €
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet October 31 mit 88% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? entschieden?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.