KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2030 72%+7.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6035,6 €
Liquidität
305.202,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.9 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
25. Aug. 25, 17:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:OpenAI
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 241.307,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 128.006,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 349.424,1 €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will OpenAI achieve AGI??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2030 mit 72% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will OpenAI achieve AGI? entschieden?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will OpenAI achieve AGI? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.