When will any company achieve AGI?

6.0 Pkt. (24h)Business & Corporate KI TechnikOne-Off1J

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Before Jan 1, 2031 83%

Führend unter 13 Optionen

Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität

24h-Volumen

2500,6 €

Liquidität

38.891 €

Hohe Liquidität

Geld / Brief

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

3.0 pt

Mittlerer Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

3. März 26, 15:001. Okt. 27, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Oct 1, 202737%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumentrend

$2.8k

2. Juli25T Daten28. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

2394,1 €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

2089,1 €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Perplexity valued at 50B+ USD before 2027?

67,8 €

Ja: 30.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

18,5 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

59.645,7 €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?

150,1 €

Nvidia: 27%

KALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

When will any company achieve AGI?

6.0 Pkt. (24h)Business & Corporate KI TechnikOne-Off1J

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Before Jan 1, 2031 83%

Führend unter 13 Optionen

Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität

24h-Volumen

2500,6 €

Liquidität

38.891 €

Hohe Liquidität

Geld / Brief

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

3.0 pt

Mittlerer Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

3. März 26, 15:001. Okt. 27, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Oct 1, 202737%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumentrend

$2.8k

2. Juli25T Daten28. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

2394,1 €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

2089,1 €

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

Perplexity valued at 50B+ USD before 2027?

67,8 €

Ja: 30.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

18,5 €

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

59.645,7 €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?

150,1 €

Nvidia: 27%

KALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,459.06-2.96%

EthereumETH$1,882.69-3.95%

SolanaSOL$73.28-4.09%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0699-4.03%

BNBBNB$565.72-1.58%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.56%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.