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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Business & Corporate
  3. When will any company achieve AGI?
When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI?

Business & CorporateKITechnikOne-Off19T
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 2%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

274,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

3. März 26, 15:001. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jul 1, 20262%

Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,3 €
Ja: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

0 €
↑$42.5B: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

5067,2 €
Ja: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?

189,9 €
↓$18B: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,738.71+1.77%EthereumETH$1,655.93+1.16%SolanaSOL$65.05+0.83%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%BNBBNB$596.57+1.36%XRPXRP$1.12-0.16%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.