PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 65%-8.0ptFührend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
30.882,3 €
Liquidität
44.493,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätComments
69
7d-Änderung
-1.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
7. Aug. 25, 20:451. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
- GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz December 31, 2026 78% · 2 Plattformen · 4 Pkt.-Band
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — GPT-6 released by ...? · December 31, 2026 68%
- Auch verfügbar auf Gemini — GPT-6 released by...? · December 31, 2026 75%
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 158.784,7 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 168.787,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 155.168,3 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,9 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für GPT-6 released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31, mit 65% (Stand: 22. August 2026).
- Wann wird GPT-6 released by which date? entschieden?
- GPT-6 released by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird GPT-6 released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird GPT-6 released by which date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Futuur, Gemini gelistet.