Bilim
Bilim için kaynaklar arasında izlenen 568 ilgili piyasa.
Açık Piyasalar
483
Toplam Hacim
$113,963,772
24s Hacim
$115,200
Toplam Likidite
$18,232,292
İlgili Kripto Varlıkları
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
5ay
24%
17%
7%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$33,3 Mn
24s Hacim$41,8 B
KALSHI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
5ay
6%
-0.1%3%
0%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$63,6 Mn
24s Hacim$25,3 B
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1.1%5ay
66%
+1.1%34%
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$213,6 B
24s Hacim$12,2 B
KALSHI
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
1.0%5ay
94%
-1.0%6%
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$314,3 B
24s Hacim$2,6 B
KALSHI
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
5.0%5ay
99%
+1.0%54%
+1.0%30%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
CoinRithm referansıUganda99%· ±1 puan
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$325,7 B
24s Hacim$2,7 B
KALSHI
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
1.0%5g
99%
96%
94%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$305,9 B
24s Hacim$1,5 B
KALSHI
Total space launches in July
9.0%12g
+1.0%94%
-9.0%16%
-1.0%2%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$70,5 B
24s Hacim$13,4 B
KALSHI
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
3y
74.3%
25.7%
Topluluk tahmini138 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
0.5%5ay
-1.0%55%
+0.5%42%
2%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$3,2 Mn
24s Hacim$550
POLYMARKET
Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?
12.0%5g
+1.0%99%
99%
99%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$56,3 B
24s Hacim$1,3 B
KALSHI
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
0.3%5ay
96%
-0.3%4%
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,6 Mn
24s Hacim$209
KALSHI
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
0.7%5ay
89%
-0.7%11%
CoinRithm referansı11%· ±8 puan
72 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$697,6 B
24s Hacim$158
KALSHI
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
12.3%12s
+11.0%37%
+12.0%35%
+4.5%21%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$24,3 B
24s Hacim$4,4 B
POLYMARKETDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
13y
75%
25%
Topluluk tahmini2.217 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSHantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
1y
94%
6%
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Dr. Beatriz Villarroel’s “aligned transients” be independently replicated?
5ay
90.3%
9.7%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
12.0%12s
+12.0%90%
-10.5%11%
-2.4%1%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
79 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$7,3 B
24s Hacim$1,9 B
POLYMARKET
Is Earth flat?
5ay
98%
2%
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$51,7 B
24s Hacim$101,1
POLYMARKET
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
1.0%4ay
+1.0%81%
-5.0%65%
-1.0%41%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$56,3 B
24s Hacim$581,1
KALSHIMajority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
5ay
93.8%
6.2%
Topluluk tahmini57 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
1.0%6y
-1.0%62%
13%
8%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
72 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$131,8 B
24s Hacim$188,7
KALSHIAre the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)
5ay
99%
1%
Topluluk tahmini28 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
1y
96%
4%
Topluluk tahmini999 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I live to be 200 years old?
175y
88.1%
11.9%
Topluluk tahmini75 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
3.0%5ay
-5.0%25%
13%
13%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$115,1 B
24s Hacim$118,7
KALSHIWill the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
3y
81.7%
18.3%
Topluluk tahmini73 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
0.5%5ay
+37.5%100%
+1.5%63%
53%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
CoinRithm referansıUganda99%· ±1 puan
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$29,7 B
24s Hacim$1,5 B
POLYMARKETGreatest Mathematician of all time
4y
-1.8%58.7%
+1.5%21.7%
+0.1%4.8%
+50 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini191 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
5.0%5ay
69%
-5.0%31%
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$16,1 B
24s Hacim$1,8 B
KALSHIWill AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
23y
99.4%
99%
99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini38 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?
24y
61.9%
38.1%
Topluluk tahmini26 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
8y
58%
42%
Topluluk tahmini88 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
7ay
99%
1%
Topluluk tahmini25 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
6.0%5ay
+0.1%78%
-0.1%22%
36 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim$228 B
24s Hacim$795,2
POLYMARKETP != NP (will it be proven by April 2027)
8ay
95.4%
4.6%
Topluluk tahmini56 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
6.0%2ay
+2.5%23%
16%
-1.1%16%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$63,7 B
24s Hacim$987,6
POLYMARKETWill we be able to decode dolphin communication by 2030?
3y
66.5%
33.5%
Topluluk tahmini34 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
5ay
94.8%
5.2%
Topluluk tahmini23 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
5ay
99%
1%
Topluluk tahmini141 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a polynomial-time algorithm for an NP-complete problem be published by 2030?
3y
91.2%
8.8%
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?
5ay
94.6%
94.5%
94.5%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
3y
54.5%
45.5%
Topluluk tahmini249 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
3y
61.7%
38.3%
Topluluk tahmini242 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I live to be at least 200 years old?
165y
88%
12%
Topluluk tahmini127 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDoes Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)
73y
83.7%
16.3%
Topluluk tahmini48 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
2y
90.2%
9.8%
Topluluk tahmini22 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
13y
62.5%
37.5%
Topluluk tahmini92 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
18y
50.3%
49.7%
Topluluk tahmini471 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS