Bilim
Bilim için kaynaklar arasında izlenen 112 ilgili piyasa.
Açık Piyasalar
103
Toplam Hacim
$73,757,791
24s Hacim
$1,458,375
Toplam Likidite
$3,629,994
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
3.0%6ay
-3.0%11%
6%
-0.1%1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$52,2 Mn
24s Hacim$1,4 Mn
POLYMARKET
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
6ay
20.8%
79.2%
Topluluk tahmini149 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$187,6 B
24s Hacim$3,8 B
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
3.0%6ay
+1.5%63%
-3.0%28%
+0.1%5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
80 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,9 Mn
24s Hacim$4 B
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
0.3%6ay
+0.3%14%
-1.0%1%
27%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$257,4 B
24s Hacim$1,2 B
KALSHI
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
0.3%6ay
5%
95%
68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$635,9 B
24s Hacim$3 B
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
0.3%6ay
+2.0%36%
+0.5%36%
-2.0%17%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,3 Mn
24s Hacim$590,2
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
1.3%18g
+2.5%49%
-5.0%25%
15%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$106 B
24s Hacim$747,4
POLYMARKETPerfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?
1ay
80%
20%
Topluluk tahmini402 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$206,3 B
24s Hacim$342,8
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
3y
57.7%
42.3%
Topluluk tahmini689 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$660 B
24s Hacim$193,2
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?
6ay
23.9%
15.3%
15.3%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim$2,5 B
24s Hacim$1,2 B
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1.2%18g
+2.0%86%
+0.6%8%
-1.2%6%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$38,4 B
24s Hacim$234,8
POLYMARKET
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
1.4%3ay
+4.0%50%
+1.4%27%
-0.5%13%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$54,2 B
24s Hacim$109,8
POLYMARKET
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
0.1%18g
2%
98%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$31 B
24s Hacim$128,9
POLYMARKETHighest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026
19g
0.4%
0.4%
95.2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim$10,6 B
24s Hacim$980
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a Metagame 2026?
6ay
96.1%
3.9%
Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$6,5 B
24s Hacim$500
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I make IMO in 2028
2y
39.5%
60.5%
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$1,3 B
24s Hacim$303,7
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
2y
96%
4%
Topluluk tahmini996 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$10,3 Mn
24s Hacim$90
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
0.5%6ay
+0.0%6%
94%
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$119,6 B
24s Hacim$15,7
POLYMARKETAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
8y
41.9%
58.1%
Topluluk tahmini85 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$22,3 B
24s Hacim$105
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
1y
53.4%
46.6%
Topluluk tahmini50 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$13,1 B
24s Hacim$104,7
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0.1%9ay
+2.0%67%
21%
+0.3%5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,1 Mn
24s Hacim$2,1
POLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
0.5%1ay
-0.5%83%
+0.5%65%
-4.5%62%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
71 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$532,5 B
24s Hacim$65,3
POLYMARKETWill global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?
10ay
20.2%
79.8%
Topluluk tahmini32 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$3,4 B
24s Hacim$200
MANIFOLD MARKETS9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
0.1%6ay
7%
94%
60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$224,9 B
24s Hacim$91,5
POLYMARKETWill I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?
1y
51%
49%
Topluluk tahmini29 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$1,2 B
24s Hacim$215,4
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
18g
2%
98%
49 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$120,3 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKETMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
9ay
10%
91%
40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$95,2 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKET
Megaquake by June 30?
1.0%18g
+0.0%8%
-0.0%92%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$78,5 B
24s Hacim$2,4
POLYMARKET
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
0.2%6ay
+0.2%3%
97%
60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$13,9 B
24s Hacim$38,4
KALSHIWill I receive a score on the TSTST high enough to qualify for the TST
9g
52.9%
47.1%
Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$866,4
24s Hacim$308,5
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?
0.5%6ay
+0.0%25%
76%
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$222,6 B
24s Hacim$32,1
POLYMARKET
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
5.0%6ay
+37.5%100%
+19.5%78%
+2.5%67%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$14,9 B
24s Hacim$69,4
POLYMARKETWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
2y
30%
70%
Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$2,7 B
24s Hacim$109
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)
1ay
55.7%
58.3%
60%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini76 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim$8,9 B
24s Hacim$21,7
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
6ay
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim$1,1 B
24s Hacim$118,4
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?
23y
0%
20.7%
51.2%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini31 tahminciTür: multiple choice
Toplam Hacim$5,9 B
24s Hacim$87
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
2.9%6ay
-2.9%15%
85%
71 • Orta kaliteDar spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$6,2 B
24s Hacim$37,9
KALSHI
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
3.0%6ay
+0.0%16%
-0.0%85%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$8,3 B
24s Hacim$1,1
POLYMARKET
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
2.5%6ay
-0.0%8%
+0.0%92%
24 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$12,3 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKET
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
6ay
82%
19%
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$5,5 B
24s Hacim$12,2
POLYMARKETEV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?
7ay
74.8%
25.2%
Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$2,1 B
24s Hacim$57
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
2.0%6ay
+2.0%55%
-5.0%10%
23%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$2,3 B
24s Hacim$14,5
KALSHIWill I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?
4y
81.3%
18.7%
Topluluk tahmini24 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$1,5 B
24s Hacim$50
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
2.0%6ay
+2.0%7%
93%
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$1,9 B
24s Hacim$10
KALSHI
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
5.0%1ay
+5.0%97%
-18.0%50%
10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$2,2 B
24s Hacim$1,9
KALSHIWill ASI be achieved less than a year after continual learning?
6y
33%
67%
Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$656,6
24s Hacim$71,6
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
6ay
13%
87%
Topluluk tahmini23 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$7 B
24s Hacim$75
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
1y
42%
58%
Topluluk tahmini23 tahminciTür: binary
Toplam Hacim$5 B
24s Hacim$61,9
MANIFOLD MARKETS