Society & Culture

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

2.5 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

-2.5pt80%

Evet

+2.5pt20%

Düşük kalite (43)Geniş spreadDüşük likidite

Toplam Hacim$22,2 B

24s Hacim$1,7 B

POLYMARKET

Is Earth flat?

3ay

Hayır

99%

Evet

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$57,3 B

24s Hacim$777,1

POLYMARKET

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

5.0 puan (24s)3ay

Yale

-4.0pt55%

Notre Dame

+5.0pt45%

Columbia

45%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (45)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$5,9 B

24s Hacim$501

KALSHI

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

1.0 puan (24s)1y

Vanderbilt

87%

Rice

84%

UCLA

79%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (53)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$17,7 B

24s Hacim$238,1

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

1ay

Above 4.1 million

94%

Above 4.2 million

89%

Above 4.3 million

61%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (58)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20 B

24s Hacim$200

KALSHI

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

2.0 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

82%

Evet

+2.0pt18%

Orta kalite (63)Dar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$19,2 B

24s Hacim$127,5

KALSHI

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

4.0 puan (24s)14g

Hayır

94%

Evet

+4.0pt6%

Düşük kalite (43)Spread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$16,9 B

24s Hacim$132

KALSHI

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

2ay

Evet

69%

Hayır

31%

Düşük kalite (41)Spread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$138

FORECASTEX

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

3ay

Peru

93%

Argentina

92%

Uruguay

92%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (54)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$192,4 B

24s Hacim$2,1

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

8.0 puan (24s)1y

Significant decrease

-5.0pt53.9%

No significant difference

+8.0pt35.6%

Significant increase

10.6%

Düşük kalite (48)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$58,8 B

24s Hacim$52

KALSHI

2027 Steel Bridge National Champion

9ay

Arkansas State

University of Florida

Lafayette College

+97 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$104,4

24s Hacim$104,4

KALSHI

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

3ay

Hayır

82.2%

Evet

17.8%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$158,7 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

US test scores in Math in 2026?

Significant decrease

43.4%

No significant difference

37.4%

Significant increase

19.2%

Düşük kalite (48)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$58,3 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

5ay

Hayır

78%

Evet

22%

Orta kalite (62)Dar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$26,4 B

24s Hacim$21,6

KALSHI

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

3ay

Hayır

93%

Evet

Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$10,2 B

24s Hacim$50

KALSHI

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

3ay

Hayır

99%

Evet

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$26,5 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

8ay

Above 950 units

96%

Above 1,100 units

93%

Above 1,250 units

79%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,8 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

0.1 puan (24s)3ay

Evet

-0.1pt98%

Hayır

+0.1pt2%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$4,7 B

24s Hacim$85,7

POLYMARKET

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

5.1 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

+5.1pt95%

Evet

-5.1pt5%

Düşük kalite (47)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$7,6 B

24s Hacim$41

POLYMARKET

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

0.5 puan (24s)1ay

Hayır

+0.5pt50.5%

Evet

-0.5pt49.5%

Orta kalite (60)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$7,6 B

24s Hacim$40

POLYMARKET

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

6ay

Hayır

92%

Evet

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,3 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

2ay

Kira Freije

30.7%

Tanoa Sasraku

30.7%

Marguerite Humeau

27.7%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$14,2 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

6ay

Above 1.7 million

96%

Above 1.9 million

89%

Above 2.0 million

77%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$13,8 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

2ay

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Jan 1, 2027

16%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Düşük kalite (45)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$13,2 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

3ay

Hayır

84%

Evet

16%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$12,3 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

3ay

Evet

60%

Hayır

40%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$12,2 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Maine lobster landings in 2026

1.0 puan (24s)6ay

Above 55 million pounds

94%

Above 70 million pounds

+1.0pt66%

Above 75 million pounds

44%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (53)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$7,9 B

24s Hacim$4,4

KALSHI

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)

41%

1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)

15%

Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

13%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (42)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8,6 B

24s Hacim$0,7

KALSHI

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

0.3 puan (24s)1ay

Hayır

-0.3pt96%

Evet

+0.3pt4%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$7,6 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

2027

-0.5pt68.6%

July 31, 2027

29.8%

2026

1.6%

Düşük kalite (43)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$7,1 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Evet

91%

Hayır

Düşük kalite (45)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$5,7 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

3ay

Hayır

98%

Evet

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$5,3 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

1.5 puan (24s)14g

September 30

+0.1pt9%

June 30

-1.5pt0%

July 31

-10.6pt0%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (22)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$4,6 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

5ay

Evet

67%

Hayır

33%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$4,2 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

0.4 puan (24s)14g

Hayır

+0.4pt98%

Evet

-0.4pt2%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$3,3 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

5.0 puan (24s)1ay

Evet

+5.0pt66%

Hayır

-5.0pt34%

Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$1,6 B

24s Hacim$20

POLYMARKET

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

4ay

Above 9.6 million

91%

Above 9.8 million

52%

Above 10.0 million

13%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2,5 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

3ay

Scarlett Johansson

26%

Shaquille O'Neal

26%

The Rock

25%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2,3 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

49.0 puan (24s)1y

Before Jan 1, 2028

+49.0pt98%

Before Jul 1, 2027

47%

Before Jan 1, 2027

22%

Düşük kalite (29)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2,1 B

24s Hacim$2

KALSHI

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

7ay

Down

88%

12%

Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2,2 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Evet

68%

Hayır

32%

Düşük kalite (44)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Major news story in Sep 2026?

14g

At least 1

30.8%

At least 2

27.4%

At least 3

17.9%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (35)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

3ay

Hayır

77%

Evet

23%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$1,8 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

3ay

Hayır

64%

Evet

36%

Düşük kalite (43)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$1,6 B

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Another Elon baby by December 31?

0.5 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

+0.5pt91%

Evet

-0.5pt9%

Düşük kalite (37)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$933,5

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

3.0 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

+3.0pt88.1%

Evet

-3.0pt11.9%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$927,7

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

6ay

Hayır

62%

Evet

38%

Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$396,2

24s Hacim$31,7

POLYMARKET

Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?

2.9 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

+2.9pt97%

Evet

-2.9pt3%

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$800,2

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Is Earth flat?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

2027 Steel Bridge National Champion

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Major news story in Sep 2026?

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

Will Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?

Aranan piyasalar