Inflation

Fed Decision in September?

1.0 puan (24s)6g

25 bps increase

+2.0pt53.5%

No change

-1.0pt46.5%

50+ bps decrease

+2 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansı25 bps increase54%· 1 puan venue farkı

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$104,9 Mn

24s Hacim$1,5 Mn

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

3ay

Evet

70.3%

Hayır

29.7%

Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8,8 Mn

24s Hacim$8 B

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike by which date?

2.0 puan (24s)1ay

October Meeting

+2.0pt54.2%

September Meeting

+2.0pt45.8%

April Meeting

-0.1pt0%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,9 Mn

24s Hacim$8,9 B

POLYMARKET

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

2.0 puan (24s)2g

Above 3.1%

+2.0pt99%

Above 2.9%

99%

Above 2.5%

99%

+23 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (73)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$644,7 B

24s Hacim$39,3 B

KALSHI

CPI in August

28.0 puan (24s)2g

Above -0.4%

+1.0pt99%

Above -0.3%

99%

Above -0.1%

99%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (57)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$417,1 B

24s Hacim$41,4 B

KALSHI

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

4ay

Above $3,800

95%

Above $3,900

81%

Above $4,000

44%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$92,7 B

24s Hacim$8,9 B

KALSHI

CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?

2.0 puan (24s)2g

Exactly 3.4%

+1.0pt46%

Exactly 3.3%

+1.0pt31%

Exactly 3.5%

+3.0pt14%

+23 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (66)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$58,1 B

24s Hacim$7,4 B

KALSHI

August Inflation China - Annual

31.8 puan (24s)18s

0.7% - 0.8%

+57.1pt100%

≤0.2%

-0.5pt0%

0.3% - 0.4%

-7.8pt0%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (52)Spread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$41,5 B

24s Hacim$9,8 B

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

2.0 puan (24s)6g

Pause–Pause–Pause

-2.0pt46.1%

Pause–Pause–Cut

-0.1pt1%

Cut–Pause–Pause

-0.8pt0%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$841 B

24s Hacim$4,8 B

POLYMARKET

How high will inflation get in 2026?

3ay

Above 3%

+1.4pt100%

Above 4%

+2.0pt100%

Above 3.5%

+0.1pt100%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn

24s Hacim$2,7 B

POLYMARKET

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

2.5 puan (24s)1g

0.2%

-1.0pt52.4%

0.3%

+4.5pt35%

0.1%

-2.5pt8.7%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$20,4 B

24s Hacim$8,8 B

POLYMARKET

CPI core in August

4.0 puan (24s)2g

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

+3.0pt87%

Above 0.2%

-4.0pt32%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (59)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,6 B

24s Hacim$7,9 B

KALSHI

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0.3 puan (24s)3ay

1 (25 bps)

+1.0pt42.1%

0 (0 bps)

28%

2 (50 bps)

23.4%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$296,1 B

24s Hacim$4,7 B

POLYMARKET

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

2.0 puan (24s)1y

Hayır

82%

Evet

-2.0pt18%

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$25,9 Mn

24s Hacim$775

KALSHI

CPI in September

9.0 puan (24s)1ay

Above -0.3%

+1.0pt98%

Above -0.4%

97%

Above -0.2%

+1.0pt96%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$88,4 B

24s Hacim$5 B

KALSHI

CPI-U index in August

Above 334.450

98%

Above 334.300

97%

Above 334.350

97%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (66)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$96,2 B

24s Hacim$4 B

KALSHI

August Inflation US - Annual

3.4%

42.2%

3.3%

29.4%

3.5%

-0.5pt14.7%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$82,5 B

24s Hacim$4,1 B

POLYMARKET

State of the economy at the end of 2026

1.2 puan (24s)4ay

Soft landing

57.8%

Overheating

-1.2pt34.3%

Stagflation

5.9%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$88,7 B

24s Hacim$3 B

KALSHI

August Inflation US - Monthly

0.5 puan (24s)1g

0.4%

45.3%

0.3%

-0.5pt34%

≥0.5%

-0.5pt12.3%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$36,9 B

24s Hacim$3,2 B

POLYMARKET

August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

1.0 puan (24s)2g

Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

-1.0pt38.6%

Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above

+1.0pt17.8%

Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

11.9%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (59)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$44,7 B

24s Hacim$1,6 B

KALSHI

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

1ay

Above 3.0%

96%

Above 3.1%

86%

Above 3.2%

77%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (44)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,3 B

24s Hacim$3 B

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

0.5 puan (24s)1g

2.4%

+0.5pt43.5%

2.3%

+1.0pt28.7%

2.5%

12%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (65)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$23,7 B

24s Hacim$1,5 B

POLYMARKET

CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026?

37.0 puan (24s)2ay

Exactly 0.2%

-37.0pt50.5%

Exactly 0.3%

12.8%

Exactly -0.1%

9.2%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (42)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$23,2 B

24s Hacim$1 B

KALSHI

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

1.0 puan (24s)1ay

Pause–Pause–Pause

-1.0pt34%

Pause–Pause–Cut

+0.1pt1%

Cut–Pause–Pause

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$748,7 B

24s Hacim$291,5

POLYMARKET

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

8.0 puan (24s)4ay

4.00% to 4.49%

+8.0pt30.6%

3.50% to 3.99%

-0.1pt28.7%

3.00% to 3.49%

18.5%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (61)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$66,8 B

24s Hacim$697,8

POLYMARKET

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

1.2 puan (24s)4ay

5.00-5.49%

43.4%

4.50-4.99%

+3.6pt33.3%

5.50-5.99%

-1.2pt18.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$106,7 B

24s Hacim$395,3

POLYMARKET

US gasoline CPI for August

6.0 puan (24s)2g

Above 300

99%

Above 310

99%

Above 320

99%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (57)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$47,2 B

24s Hacim$952,4

KALSHI

China Annual Inflation 2026

7.3 puan (24s)4ay

0.6 – 1.0%

53%

0.1 – 0.5%

-7.3pt25%

1.1 – 1.5%

+1.5pt14%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$81,7 B

24s Hacim$499,2

POLYMARKET

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Above 2.1%

97%

Above 2.2%

+2.0pt95%

Above 2.3%

63%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (44)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$45,1 B

24s Hacim$807,2

KALSHI

Kolkata Municipal Election Winner

3ay

Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)

86.9%

All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)

4.7%

Indian National Congress (INC)

2.8%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,7 B

24s Hacim$1,7 B

POLYMARKET

Argentina Monthly Inflation - August

8.5 puan (24s)1g

1.5-1.7%

+3.9pt70%

1.8-2.0%

-8.5pt18%

1.2-1.4%

+1.9pt4%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (41)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$29,1 B

24s Hacim$843,4

POLYMARKET

Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in September 2026?

4.0 puan (24s)1ay

Evet

72%

Hayır

28%

Düşük kalite (42)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$1,5 B

FORECASTEX

US shelter CPI in August

Above 429.4

99%

Above 429.5

98%

Above 429.6

98%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (43)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$40,7 B

24s Hacim$455,4

KALSHI

CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?

4.0 puan (24s)2g

Exactly 2.4%

+10.0pt53%

Exactly 2.3%

-4.0pt27%

Exactly 3.1%

12%

+13 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (51)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$21,3 B

24s Hacim$782,2

KALSHI

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

1.3 puan (24s)1g

$2.20–$2.30

-7.5pt56.7%

$2.10–$2.20

-1.3pt23.7%

$2.30–$2.40

14.4%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (63)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$37,2 B

24s Hacim$304,3

POLYMARKET

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

8.0 puan (24s)1g

Above 1.4%

93%

Above 1.6%

-5.0pt55%

Above 1.8%

-8.0pt8%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (55)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,1 B

24s Hacim$518,1

KALSHI

PPI YoY in August

10.0 puan (24s)1g

Above 4.5%

99%

Above 4.0%

97%

Above 4.2%

97%

+13 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (40)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$11,2 B

24s Hacim$666,1

KALSHI

PPI YoY - August 2026

1.5 puan (24s)1g

5.1%+

+1.5pt70.4%

4.9%

-0.1pt6.1%

4.6%

-0.1pt5.1%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansı5.1%+69%· 1 puan venue farkı

Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$19,2 B

24s Hacim$350

POLYMARKET

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

14.0 puan (24s)21g

0.2%

+14.0pt49%

0.3%

36%

0.5%+

+18.3pt22%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (49)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$5,3 B

24s Hacim$889,7

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

2.0 puan (24s)3ay

Pause–Pause–Pause

+2.0pt31.1%

Hike–Pause–Pause

-0.5pt17.9%

Hike–Hike–Pause

+1.5pt13.2%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$13,9 B

24s Hacim$259,3

POLYMARKET

Egg prices up in August?

12.0 puan (24s)2g

Evet

-12.0pt51%

Hayır

49%

Orta kalite (50)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$4 B

24s Hacim$847,7

KALSHI

CPI month-over-month in Aug 2026?

3.0 puan (24s)2g

Exactly 0.4%

-1.0pt40.4%

Exactly 0.3%

+7.0pt30.8%

Exactly 0.5%

12.5%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (61)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8 B

24s Hacim$386,4

KALSHI

CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?

6.0 puan (24s)2g

Exactly 0.4%

80%

Exactly 0.2%

-7.0pt47%

Exactly 0.3%

+6.0pt34%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (58)Dar spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$4,7 B

24s Hacim$684,7

KALSHI

US airline fares CPI for August

8.0 puan (24s)2g

Above 310

98%

Above 314

87%

Above 312

84%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (32)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,3 B

24s Hacim$300

KALSHI

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

8.8 puan (24s)21g

3.2%

31.6%

3.3%

+3.5pt22.8%

3.1%

+0.5pt14.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (35)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$14,7 B

24s Hacim$187,9

POLYMARKET

PPI YoY - August 2026

5.1%+

68.5%

5.0%

50.7%

4.9%

50.4%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansı5.1%+69%· 1 puan venue farkı

Düşük kalite (28)Spread bilinmiyorLikidite bilinmiyorYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$339,4

24s Hacim$332,1

LIMITLESS

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

3.5 puan (24s)3ay

10th-12th

61.7%

6th or higher

+3.5pt19.6%

7th-9th

+1.5pt10.3%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (59)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$9,4 B

24s Hacim$131,5

POLYMARKET

How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?

19.0 puan (24s)21g

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

85%

Above 0.2%

54%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (39)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$3,2 B

24s Hacim$100

KALSHI

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Fed Decision in September?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by which date?

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

CPI in August

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?

August Inflation China - Annual

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

CPI core in August

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

CPI in September

CPI-U index in August

August Inflation US - Annual

State of the economy at the end of 2026

August Inflation US - Monthly

August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026?

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

US gasoline CPI for August

China Annual Inflation 2026

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Kolkata Municipal Election Winner

Argentina Monthly Inflation - August

Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in September 2026?

US shelter CPI in August

CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

PPI YoY in August

PPI YoY - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Egg prices up in August?

CPI month-over-month in Aug 2026?

CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?

US airline fares CPI for August

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

PPI YoY - August 2026

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?

Aranan piyasalar