KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Soft landing 49.5%-5.7pt4 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
66 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺151,5 B
Likidite
₺2,7 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
4.4 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Şub 26 15:00 UTC13 Oca 27 13:25 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — US economic state at the end of 2026? · Overheating 50%
Açık piyasalar
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+9.0pt62.4%
- No change-8.0pt36.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺286,2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,9 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+6.5pt72%
- September Meeting+10.0pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺428,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,4 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺22,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-4.5pt46.1%
- 2 (50 bps)+8.0pt30.4%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Sık sorulan sorular
- State of the economy at the end of 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Soft landing için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- State of the economy at the end of 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 13 Ocak 2027.
- State of the economy at the end of 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- State of the economy at the end of 2026 başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.