Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 83.2%+4.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
86 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺1,7 Mn
Likidite
₺10,6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
16 Eyl 26 18:24 UTC9 Ara 26 00:00 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in CoinRithm referansı için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %84. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 1 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı 84% · 2 platform · 1 puan venue farkı
