Fed

Fed Decision in September?

2.0 puan (24s)6g

25 bps increase

+1.0pt53%

No change

-2.0pt47%

50+ bps decrease

+2 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansı25 bps increase53%· 1 puan venue farkı

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$105,1 Mn

24s Hacim$1,6 Mn

POLYMARKET

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Hike 25bps

+1.0pt52.9%

Fed maintains rate

-2.0pt44.1%

Hike >25bps

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$40,5 Mn

24s Hacim$2,5 Mn

KALSHI

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0.3 puan (24s)3ay

0 (0 bps)

+0.3pt93%

1 (25 bps)

2 (50 bps)

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$51,6 Mn

24s Hacim$48,6 B

POLYMARKET

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

0.1 puan (24s)3ay

Exactly 0 cuts

-0.3pt90.1%

Exactly 1 cut

+1.0pt8.9%

Exactly 2 cuts

-0.9pt1%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (69)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$8,8 Mn

24s Hacim$49,3 B

KALSHI

Next Fed rate hike?

1.0 puan (24s)3ay

Before 2028

+1.0pt85%

Before July 2027

-1.0pt83%

Before 2027

+1.0pt75%

Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$3,9 Mn

24s Hacim$20,6 B

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

3ay

Evet

70.3%

Hayır

29.7%

Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8,8 Mn

24s Hacim$8,1 B

POLYMARKET

Fed rate decision in September 2026

5.0 puan (24s)9g

Hike 25bps

+5.0pt48.6%

Fed maintains rate

-4.0pt44.9%

Cut 25bps

2.8%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (90)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$122,9 B

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed Decision in October?

0.1 puan (24s)1ay

No change

66%

25 bps increase

30.1%

25 bps decrease

-0.1pt2.9%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansıNo change68%· 1 puan venue farkı

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn

24s Hacim$47,3 B

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

0.1 puan (24s)3ay

Anthropic

-0.8pt59.2%

SpaceX

38.8%

OpenAI

+0.1pt2%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (87)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$6 Mn

24s Hacim$9,3 B

POLYMARKET

Fed rate cut before 2027?

2.5 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

89%

Evet

+2.5pt11%

Yüksek kalite (90)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$1,2 Mn

24s Hacim$45,6 B

KALSHI

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Above 2.75%

99%

Above 3.00%

99%

Above 3.25%

99%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,7 Mn

24s Hacim$26,9 B

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

2.0 puan (24s)1ay

October Meeting

+2.0pt54.2%

September Meeting

+2.0pt45.8%

April Meeting

-0.1pt0%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,9 Mn

24s Hacim$10,1 B

POLYMARKET

Fed rate cut by which date?

4ay

December Meeting

October Meeting

-0.1pt4%

January Meeting

-0.8pt0%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$3,4 Mn

24s Hacim$7 B

POLYMARKET

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

1.3 puan (24s)3ay

Before Jan 31, 2028

+39.0pt67%

Before Jun 1, 2027

45%

Before Jan 1, 2027

+1.3pt9%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$720 B

24s Hacim$8 B

KALSHI

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

1ay

Fed maintains rate

+1.0pt65.7%

Hike 25bps

26.7%

Cut 25bps

-2.0pt3.8%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (83)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$558,8 B

24s Hacim$10,1 B

KALSHI

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

7.9 puan (24s)3ay

4.5%

+11.2pt100%

4.6%

+4.9pt100%

4.8%

+7.9pt100%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$324,9 B

24s Hacim$12,4 B

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

0.9 puan (24s)3ay

No change

48%

25 bps increase

43.1%

25 bps decrease

-0.9pt5.9%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (81)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$565,4 B

24s Hacim$5 B

POLYMARKET

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

0.1 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

+0.1pt94%

Evet

-0.1pt6%

Yüksek kalite (77)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$208,2 B

24s Hacim$11 B

POLYMARKET

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

3ay

4.0%

-0.8pt41.2%

4.25%

+2.6pt23.5%

3.75%

-0.5pt21.6%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$6,8 Mn

24s Hacim$2,4 B

POLYMARKET

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

8.0 puan (24s)8g

Central Bank

-1.0pt92%

Good Day

+2.0pt89%

Productivity

88%

+43 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$87,5 B

24s Hacim$9,1 B

KALSHI

Fed Decision in January?

0.5 puan (24s)4ay

No change

58.6%

25 bps increase

-1.0pt23.1%

25 bps decrease

+0.5pt13.5%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$68,1 B

24s Hacim$5,5 B

POLYMARKET

Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?

5.0 puan (24s)7g

Hayır

55%

Evet

45%

Orta kalite (61)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$18 B

FORECASTEX

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

2.0 puan (24s)6g

Pause–Pause–Pause

-2.0pt46.1%

Pause–Pause–Cut

-0.1pt1%

Cut–Pause–Pause

-0.8pt0%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$841 B

24s Hacim$4,8 B

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)

4.0 puan (24s)3ay

H 0

+4.0pt48.6%

H 25

-1.0pt39%

C 25

-1.0pt7.6%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (58)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$17,3 B

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

1.0 puan (24s)3ay

Anthony Fauci

+1.0pt38%

John Brennan

+2.0pt35%

Letitia James

16%

+38 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,5 Mn

24s Hacim$1,5 B

KALSHI

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0.3 puan (24s)3ay

1 (25 bps)

+1.0pt42.1%

0 (0 bps)

28%

2 (50 bps)

23.4%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$296,1 B

24s Hacim$4,6 B

POLYMARKET

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

1.9 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

95%

Evet

+1.9pt5%

Yüksek kalite (79)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$594,9 B

24s Hacim$1,9 B

KALSHI

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

3.1 puan (24s)21g

4.82%

-20.0pt56%

4.85%

+1.0pt42%

4.91%

+2.0pt27%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (64)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$9,3 B

24s Hacim$9,1 B

POLYMARKET

Fed decision in September?

20g

Hike 25bps

50.7%

Fed maintains rate

44%

Cut 25bps

2.4%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Dar spreadLikidite bilinmiyorYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$194,3 B

24s Hacim$3,7 B

GEMINI

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

1.0 puan (24s)1ay

H 0

+1.0pt63.3%

H 25

25.7%

C 25

5.5%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (56)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$7,1 B

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

3.8 puan (24s)3ay

4.0%

+0.3pt100%

3.9%

-0.9pt8%

3.5%

-0.3pt5%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$246,9 B

24s Hacim$1,8 B

POLYMARKET

How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?

-1.0pt33%

-1.0pt16%

-2.0pt14%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$116,1 B

24s Hacim$3,7 B

KALSHI

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

6.0 puan (24s)3ay

Stephen Miran

+7.7pt14%

Kevin Hassett

11%

Michelle Bowman

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (61)Orta spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$235,2 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

0.3 puan (24s)1ay

No Change

+0.1pt89%

25 bps increase

-0.3pt11%

50+ bps increase

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$55,8 B

24s Hacim$4,4 B

POLYMARKET

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

12.0 puan (24s)3ay

↑ 6.50%

+13.4pt100%

↑ 6.30%

-1.5pt100%

↑ 6.20%

100%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$71,8 B

24s Hacim$2,6 B

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

1ay

No change

81.2%

25 bps increase

-0.5pt18.8%

50+ bps decrease

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (49)Spread bilinmiyorOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$76,7 B

24s Hacim$2 B

POLYMARKET

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

0.7 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

95%

Evet

-0.7pt5%

Orta kalite (56)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$74,4 B

24s Hacim$1,4 B

KALSHI

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0

-4.0pt44.3%

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0

-1.0pt40.6%

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0

11.3%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$84,5 B

24s Hacim$1,1 B

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

6.0 puan (24s)23g

Above -25,000

94%

Above 0

85%

Above 10,000

82%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (66)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$32,7 B

24s Hacim$2,7 B

KALSHI

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

2.0 puan (24s)7g

Beth Hammack

-1.0pt43%

Neel Kashkari

-1.0pt42%

Lorie Logan

42%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (66)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$39 B

24s Hacim$1,5 B

KALSHI

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

2.6 puan (24s)3ay

↓ 3.5%

+0.5pt100%

↑ 4.25%

+0.7pt26%

↑ 4.5%

+2.6pt8%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,8 Mn

24s Hacim$450,8

POLYMARKET

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

3ay

Dot Plot Omitted

38%

Reserve President Removed

17%

Presser Skipped

14%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (57)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$39 B

24s Hacim$1 B

KALSHI

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?

0.3 puan (24s)3ay

November 30

+0.5pt7%

December 31

+1.0pt7%

October 31

-0.5pt2%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$17 B

24s Hacim$2,2 B

POLYMARKET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

1.5 puan (24s)21g

Below 4.76%

-1.5pt77%

Below 4.73%

-6.0pt68%

Below 4.70%

-22.5pt51%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$9,4 B

24s Hacim$3 B

POLYMARKET

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1.6 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

-1.6pt96%

Evet

+1.6pt4%

Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$13,7 B

24s Hacim$1,7 B

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

1.0 puan (24s)1ay

Pause–Pause–Pause

-1.0pt34%

Pause–Pause–Cut

+0.1pt1%

Cut–Pause–Pause

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$748,7 B

24s Hacim$268

POLYMARKET

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?

3.5 puan (24s)3ay

December 31

-3.5pt14%

May 30

Orta kalite (55)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$445,2 B

24s Hacim$408,9

POLYMARKET

Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?

2.0 puan (24s)7g

Evet

56%

Hayır

44%

Orta kalite (56)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

24s Hacim$3,9 B

FORECASTEX

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Fed Decision in September?

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Next Fed rate hike?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate decision in September 2026

Fed Decision in October?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Fed rate hike by which date?

Fed rate cut by which date?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fed Decision in December?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?

Fed Decision in January?

Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

Fed decision in September?

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by which date?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?

Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?

Aranan piyasalar