Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
Evet16.8%-1.0pt
Hayır83.2%+1.0pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır83%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (92)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$76,6 Mn
24s Hacim$485 B
POLYMARKETJeopolitik
Jeopolitik için toplam 4.992 piyasa kaydedildi, sonuçlananlar dahil. Bir piyasa birden fazla konu altında görünebilir.
Açık Piyasalar
3,266
Toplam Hacim
$2,850,958,359
24s Hacim
$3,638,024
Likidite + açık pozisyon
$111,401,985
İlgili Kripto Varlıkları
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
November 1+0.4pt100%November 2+0.5pt99%November 3-0.9pt97%+39 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$42,9 Mn
24s Hacim$786,5 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.8 puan (24s)1ay
October 3199%November 2+0.8pt98%November 4+3.5pt94%+19 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$32,9 Mn
24s Hacim$750,6 B
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
1ay
March 3164%December 31-0.3pt41%November 30+2.0pt28%+22 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$45,8 Mn
24s Hacim$503 B
POLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
Evet2%+0.1pt
Hayır98%-0.1pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır98%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$45,5 Mn
24s Hacim$37,9 B
POLYMARKET
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1ay
December 317%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$77,2 Mn
24s Hacim$17,5 B
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1ay
Evet5%
Hayır95%
Yüksek kalite (87)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$28,9 Mn
24s Hacim$21,3 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
1ay
December 3114%November 309%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$20,9 Mn
24s Hacim$28 B
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt37%November 30-0.5pt26%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$10,8 Mn
24s Hacim$55,9 B
POLYMARKET
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+2.0pt14%November 30+0.5pt7%October 31-0.1pt0%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$17,8 Mn
24s Hacim$32,1 B
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1ay
Evet11.9%
Hayır88.1%
CoinRithm referansıHayır88%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (86)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$16,1 Mn
24s Hacim$28,6 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)8ay
December 31,+1.0pt71%November 30,-0.5pt67%October 31,-1.0pt64%+15 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$10,2 Mn
24s Hacim$32,3 B
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-1.0pt13%November 306%November 15-0.3pt2%+5 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$13 Mn
24s Hacim$24,4 B
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
3.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-3.0pt5%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$18,5 Mn
24s Hacim$13,3 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
2.0 puan (24s)29g
Before Jan 20, 2029-2.0pt41%Before Jan 1, 202837%Before Mar 1, 202720%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$7,7 Mn
24s Hacim$33,6 B
KALSHI
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
0.3 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-1.0pt34%November 3026%November 2+0.3pt3%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$3,1 Mn
24s Hacim$82,2 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
1.0 puan (24s)1g
Evet95%+1.0pt
Hayır5%-1.0pt
Yüksek kalite (84)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,9 Mn
24s Hacim$48,4 B
POLYMARKET
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
3.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31,-3.5pt38%November 30,+0.5pt25%+4 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,1 Mn
24s Hacim$73,5 B
POLYMARKET
Iran coup attempt by which date?
1.5 puan (24s)1ay
2027-1.5pt27%2026+5.0pt16%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (69)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,4 Mn
24s Hacim$32,7 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
Evet2%-0.5pt
Hayır98%+0.5pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır98%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$11 Mn
24s Hacim$5,3 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
0.2 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+0.2pt4%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,9 Mn
24s Hacim$7,5 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
December 31,-0.1pt3%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$5,6 Mn
24s Hacim$9,3 B
POLYMARKET
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
1ay
Ilhan Omar43%Dan J. Sullivan+3.0pt23%John Brennan-9.0pt16%+42 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,3 Mn
24s Hacim$21 B
KALSHI
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
3.0 puan (24s)2ay
Christopher Luxon-3.0pt43%Pedro Sánchez+1.0pt20%Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt19%+32 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$4 Mn
24s Hacim$11,1 B
KALSHIRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
1ay
December53%March24%December 3111%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$3,3 Mn
24s Hacim$11,2 B
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
1.0 puan (24s)28g
Evet6.9%+1.0pt
Hayır93.1%-1.0pt
Yüksek kalite (85)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,2 Mn
24s Hacim$32,7 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+3.0pt77%November 30+0.5pt69%October 31+0.1pt0%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$2,3 Mn
24s Hacim$15,5 B
POLYMARKET
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
0.1 puan (24s)1g
No Hormuz Agreement+0.1pt96%D-0.1pt3%R-0.1pt1%Yüksek kalite (85)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,8 Mn
24s Hacim$17,3 B
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
0.9 puan (24s)1ay
Evet4%-0.9pt
Hayır96%+0.9pt
Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$3,7 Mn
24s Hacim$7,3 B
POLYMARKET
Iran Nuke before 2027?
0.8 puan (24s)1ay
Evet3%-0.8pt
Hayır97%+0.8pt
Yüksek kalite (83)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,5 Mn
24s Hacim$9 B
POLYMARKET
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
8ay
Hesai19%
CXMT18%
Unitree18%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$715,3 B
24s Hacim$19,4 B
POLYMARKET
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
0.3 puan (24s)1ay
Evet3%-0.3pt
Hayır97%+0.3pt
Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn
24s Hacim$5,9 B
POLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-0.1pt3%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$29,7 Mn
24s Hacim$2,4 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade another country by which date?
0.3 puan (24s)1y
202719%2026+0.3pt4%Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$657,7 B
24s Hacim$5,1 B
POLYMARKET
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Before Jan 1, 202855%Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt49%Before Jan 1, 2027-1.0pt16%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$622,8 B
24s Hacim$5,1 B
KALSHIWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
2.0 puan (24s)1y
Evet27.7%+2.0pt
Hayır72.3%-2.0pt
Yüksek kalite (83)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$111,1 B
24s Hacim$30,3 B
POLYMARKET
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
7.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-5.0pt32%November 30-7.0pt17%October 31-0.1pt1%Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$106,2 B
24s Hacim$31,2 B
POLYMARKET
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
1.0 puan (24s)1g
Above 150+1.0pt99%Above 160+1.0pt98%Above 17098%+8 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$179,2 B
24s Hacim$17,1 B
KALSHI
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)28g
November 30-1.0pt50%November 1521%October 31+1.3pt3%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Düşük kalite (41)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$63,1 B
24s Hacim$52,4 B
POLYMARKET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
1.4 puan (24s)1ay
4+1.4pt72%511%63%+13 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$7,8 Mn
24s Hacim$2,5 B
POLYMARKET
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt14%+13 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,5 Mn
24s Hacim$2,5 B
POLYMARKET
US imposes new sanctions on China by which date?
84.7 puan (24s)28g
October 31, 2026+84.7pt92%November 30+16.5pt32%Orta kalite (57)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$39,7 B
24s Hacim$30,2 B
POLYMARKETWhere will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
2.5 puan (24s)1y
UAE-5.0pt69%
No Talks by December 31, 2027-2.5pt10%
Switzerland+1.0pt7%+26 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (80)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$108,5 B
24s Hacim$7,6 B
POLYMARKETTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
1.0 puan (24s)8g
Above 150+2.0pt97%Above 160+2.0pt94%Above 170+1.0pt89%+8 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (69)Dar spreadOrta açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$31,7 B
24s Hacim$17,4 B
KALSHI
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by which date?
8.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-8.0pt20%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$74,7 B
24s Hacim$6,5 B
POLYMARKET
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
1ay
Ishaq Dar43%
Abbas Araghchi-4.0pt37%
Abdulrahman Al Thani37%+25 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (70)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$2 Mn
24s Hacim$3,4 B
POLYMARKET
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+0.5pt6%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$4,1 Mn
24s Hacim$1,3 B
POLYMARKET
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
2.5 puan (24s)1ay
November 30-2.5pt86%December 3171%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (66)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$2,6 Mn
24s Hacim$1,8 B
POLYMARKET