Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1ay
Evet17.8%
Hayır82.2%
CoinRithm referansıHayır82%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (91)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$76,6 Mn
24s Hacim$493,6 B
POLYMARKETJeopolitik
Jeopolitik için toplam 4.994 piyasa kaydedildi, sonuçlananlar dahil. Bir piyasa birden fazla konu altında görünebilir.
Açık Piyasalar
3,268
Toplam Hacim
$2,852,130,943
24s Hacim
$3,938,718
Likidite + açık pozisyon
$111,148,237
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.9 puan (24s)1ay
November 1+0.3pt100%November 2+0.9pt99%November 3-1.1pt96%+39 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$43,1 Mn
24s Hacim$675,1 B
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
2.0 puan (24s)1ay
March 31+1.5pt65%December 31+2.0pt44%November 30+3.5pt30%+22 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$46 Mn
24s Hacim$569 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2.5 puan (24s)1ay
October 31-0.1pt99%November 2+2.5pt98%November 4+3.5pt93%+23 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$33,1 Mn
24s Hacim$807,1 B
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1ay
Evet5%
Hayır95%
Yüksek kalite (89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$29 Mn
24s Hacim$86,9 B
POLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
Evet2%+0.1pt
Hayır98%-0.1pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır98%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$45,5 Mn
24s Hacim$36,7 B
POLYMARKET
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt8%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$77,2 Mn
24s Hacim$15 B
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1ay
Evet12.9%
Hayır87.1%
CoinRithm referansıHayır87%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (87)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$16,2 Mn
24s Hacim$56,6 B
POLYMARKET
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt13%November 30+1.0pt7%October 31-0.1pt0%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$17,8 Mn
24s Hacim$34,2 B
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
2.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+2.0pt38%November 30-1.5pt26%+10 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$10,8 Mn
24s Hacim$58 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)8ay
December 31,+1.0pt71%November 30,68%October 31,65%+15 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$10,3 Mn
24s Hacim$51,8 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
1ay
December 3114%November 309%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$20,9 Mn
24s Hacim$19,3 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
14.0 puan (24s)28g
Before Jan 20, 2029-14.0pt48%Before Jan 1, 2028-9.0pt28%Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt15%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$7,8 Mn
24s Hacim$43,2 B
KALSHI
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
3.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-3.5pt5%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$18,5 Mn
24s Hacim$14 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
0.7 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt40%November 30+4.5pt30%November 2+0.7pt5%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$3,1 Mn
24s Hacim$92,6 B
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-1.0pt12%November 306%November 15+0.3pt2%+5 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$13 Mn
24s Hacim$18 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
0.3 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+0.3pt4%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,9 Mn
24s Hacim$14,6 B
POLYMARKET
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
2.4 puan (24s)1g
No Hormuz Agreement-2.4pt94%D+1.9pt4%R+0.7pt2%Yüksek kalite (85)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,9 Mn
24s Hacim$62,8 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
Evet2%-0.5pt
Hayır98%+0.5pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır98%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$11 Mn
24s Hacim$9,1 B
POLYMARKET
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31,-1.0pt42%November 30,-1.5pt25%+4 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,1 Mn
24s Hacim$87,3 B
POLYMARKET
Iran coup attempt by which date?
1ay
202728%2026+1.0pt12%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (52)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,4 Mn
24s Hacim$34,5 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
2.0 puan (24s)1g
Evet96%+2.0pt
Hayır4%-2.0pt
Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,9 Mn
24s Hacim$40,3 B
POLYMARKETIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1.1 puan (24s)1ay
Evet8%+1.1pt
Hayır92%-1.1pt
Yüksek kalite (76)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$2,1 Mn
24s Hacim$31,5 B
POLYMARKET
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
Christopher Luxon-1.0pt45%Pedro Sánchez+2.0pt20%Benjamin Netanyahu18%+32 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$4 Mn
24s Hacim$13,7 B
KALSHIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
1.0 puan (24s)28g
Evet6.9%+1.0pt
Hayır93.1%-1.0pt
Yüksek kalite (86)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,2 Mn
24s Hacim$39,3 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt74%November 30+1.0pt69%+4 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (50)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,3 Mn
24s Hacim$17,3 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
0.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31,-0.5pt3%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$5,6 Mn
24s Hacim$5,5 B
POLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
3.5 puan (24s)1ay
Evet11%+3.5pt
Hayır89%-3.5pt
Yüksek kalite (77)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$2,9 Mn
24s Hacim$9,1 B
POLYMARKET
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
2.0 puan (24s)1ay
Ilhan Omar-2.0pt42%Dan J. Sullivan-5.0pt23%John Brennan-3.0pt22%+42 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$2,3 Mn
24s Hacim$10,7 B
KALSHI
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
2.0 puan (24s)1ay
Dilution of Iran's Uranium+2.0pt16%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium14%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)14%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (77)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn
24s Hacim$16,6 B
POLYMARKET
Iran Nuke before 2027?
0.7 puan (24s)1ay
Evet3%-0.7pt
Hayır97%+0.7pt
Yüksek kalite (83)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,5 Mn
24s Hacim$10,4 B
POLYMARKET
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
8ay
Hesai19%
CXMT18%
Unitree18%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$715,3 B
24s Hacim$19,3 B
POLYMARKET
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
Evet3%-0.1pt
Hayır97%+0.1pt
Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,4 Mn
24s Hacim$6,8 B
POLYMARKET
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
13.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-16.0pt26%November 30-13.5pt11%October 31-0.5pt0%Yüksek kalite (76)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$131,2 B
24s Hacim$54,3 B
POLYMARKET
Houthis enter Aden by which date?
1.5 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.5pt19%November 30+1.5pt9%October 31-0.1pt0%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (71)Orta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$748,6 B
24s Hacim$5,8 B
POLYMARKET
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
19s
Above 15099%Above 160+1.0pt99%Above 17098%+8 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$185,1 B
24s Hacim$22,1 B
KALSHI
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
Evet4%+0.1pt
Hayır96%-0.1pt
Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$371,1 B
24s Hacim$9,4 B
POLYMARKET
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
1ay
Before Jan 1, 202855%Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt49%Before Jan 1, 202716%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$622,8 B
24s Hacim$5,1 B
KALSHI
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
0.1 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-0.1pt3%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$29,7 Mn
24s Hacim$1,9 B
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
0.5 puan (24s)1y
Evet27.7%+0.5pt
Hayır72.3%-0.5pt
Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$111,8 B
24s Hacim$29,5 B
POLYMARKET
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by which date?
3.0 puan (24s)28g
November 30+3.0pt56%November 15-16.0pt17%October 31+0.5pt3%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$63,3 B
24s Hacim$52,5 B
POLYMARKET
Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
1.1 puan (24s)28g
November 3033%October 31+1.1pt2%+5 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (63)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$437 B
24s Hacim$5,1 B
POLYMARKET
US imposes new sanctions on China by which date?
15.5 puan (24s)28g
November 30+15.5pt31%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (56)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$49,8 B
24s Hacim$40 B
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by which date?
0.6 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-0.6pt3%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$14,2 Mn
24s Hacim$1,4 B
POLYMARKETWhere will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
No Meeting by December 31-1.0pt53.3%Qatar-4.0pt14.3%Switzerland+2.5pt5.7%+16 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (78)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$223 B
24s Hacim$5,2 B
POLYMARKET
US military action against Cuba by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31-1.0pt8%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (69)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,7 Mn
24s Hacim$2,5 B
POLYMARKET
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)1ay
December 31+1.0pt14%+13 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (68)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,5 Mn
24s Hacim$2,5 B
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
0.9 puan (24s)1ay
Evet4%-0.9pt
Hayır96%+0.9pt
Yüksek kalite (80)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$3,7 Mn
24s Hacim$3,3 B
POLYMARKET