Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Evet14%-1.0pt
Hayır86%+1.0pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır86%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (95)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$72,2 Mn
24s Hacim$506,5 B
POLYMARKETJeopolitik
Jeopolitik için toplam 3.695 piyasa kaydedildi, sonuçlananlar dahil. Bir piyasa birden fazla konu altında görünebilir.
Açık Piyasalar
2,061
Toplam Hacim
$2,741,884,055
24s Hacim
$3,829,322
Likidite + açık pozisyon
$113,375,617
İlgili Kripto Varlıkları
İlgili Haberler (6)
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Bitcoin Falls Lower as Trump's Iran Snub Sends Oil, Yields HigherDecrypt
Saudi Arabia exits China backed mBridge digital currency projectCrypto News
Iran’s Strait of Hormuz toll booth ran through a bitcoin exchange, U.S. saysCoindeskPOLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
2ay
March 3173%December 31-0.9pt50%November 30+1.0pt36%+20 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$36,2 Mn
24s Hacim$584,7 B
POLYMARKET
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-1.0pt6%October 31+0.1pt1%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$75,5 Mn
24s Hacim$76 B
POLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
1.1 puan (24s)5ay
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+1.1pt14.1%
Save the Children-0.2pt8.1%
Mykola Kuleba+0.5pt7.1%+37 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$26,3 Mn
24s Hacim$193,3 B
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2ay
October 997%October 1592%October 31-0.5pt83%+24 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$32,7 Mn
24s Hacim$143 B
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Evet5.9%-1.0pt
Hayır94.1%+1.0pt
Yüksek kalite (90)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$26,8 Mn
24s Hacim$113,5 B
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Evet18.8%-1.0pt
Hayır81.2%+1.0pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır81%· 1 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (91)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$14,2 Mn
24s Hacim$183,2 B
POLYMARKET
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
2.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-2.0pt15%October 31-1.5pt6%September 300%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$16,5 Mn
24s Hacim$149,1 B
POLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2ay
Evet2%
Hayır98%
CoinRithm referansıHayır98%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (90)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$43,6 Mn
24s Hacim$31,4 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.7 puan (24s)25g
October 5+0.7pt100%October 797%October 996%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$6,3 Mn
24s Hacim$231 B
POLYMARKET
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms+1.0pt15%Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine-1.0pt9%Save the Children+1.0pt8%+36 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (65)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek açık pozisyon
Toplam Hacim$2,7 Mn
24s Hacim$410,4 B
KALSHI
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31+1.0pt13%November 30+0.5pt9%October 31-0.6pt2%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$19,6 Mn
24s Hacim$48,8 B
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
2ay
December 3122%October 31-0.5pt9%+4 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$8,3 Mn
24s Hacim$29,9 B
POLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
2ay
December 316%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$29,5 Mn
24s Hacim$5 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
2.5 puan (24s)8ay
December 31,+2.5pt69%November 30,+1.5pt67%October 31,-0.5pt62%+15 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$8,3 Mn
24s Hacim$18,4 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
4.0 puan (24s)26g
Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt37%Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36%Before Feb 1, 2027+3.0pt18%+7 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$9,3 Mn
24s Hacim$14,7 B
KALSHI
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
0.3 puan (24s)2ay
Evet3%+0.3pt
Hayır97%-0.3pt
CoinRithm referansıHayır97%· 0 puan venue farkı
Yüksek kalite (82)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$10,9 Mn
24s Hacim$7,9 B
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Evet5.9%+1.0pt
Hayır94.1%-1.0pt
Yüksek kalite (84)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$3,5 Mn
24s Hacim$25,8 B
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
1.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31+1.5pt20%October 31-1.5pt5%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (68)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$10,1 Mn
24s Hacim$7,7 B
POLYMARKET
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
6.5 puan (24s)2ay
Somaliland+6.5pt15%Jordan-15.0pt9%Kuwait-2.0pt7%+9 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (78)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$1,7 Mn
24s Hacim$36,6 B
POLYMARKET
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
8.0 puan (24s)25g
October 31+8.0pt22%+8 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (70)Dar spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$2,8 Mn
24s Hacim$20,2 B
POLYMARKETUS military action against Cuba by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-1.0pt11%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,6 Mn
24s Hacim$5,8 B
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
2.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31+2.5pt33%November 30-1.0pt23%October 31-2.0pt14%+6 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,6 Mn
24s Hacim$28,4 B
POLYMARKET
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
2ay
Christopher Luxon45%Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt44%Pedro Sánchez34%+32 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$3,8 Mn
24s Hacim$10,3 B
KALSHI
Will Iran target Iraq by which date?
25g
September 30100%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$210,6 B
24s Hacim$180,8 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
3.0 puan (24s)2y
Before January 21, 2029-3.0pt19%Before 2027+1.3pt5%Yüksek kalite (77)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyon
Toplam Hacim$3,5 Mn
24s Hacim$7,1 B
KALSHIRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
2ay
December 3111%October 31-0.6pt3%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$2,2 Mn
24s Hacim$11,3 B
POLYMARKET
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
Steve Witkoff-1.0pt49%
Jared Kushner-2.0pt48%
Abbas Araghchi-3.0pt45%+24 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$1,3 Mn
24s Hacim$20,2 B
POLYMARKET
Houthis enter Aden by which date?
3.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-3.5pt28%October 31+2.0pt12%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$457,1 B
24s Hacim$59,3 B
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
5.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-5.0pt60%November 30-6.0pt50%October 31-5.5pt27%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,1 Mn
24s Hacim$17,3 B
POLYMARKET
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
30.2 puan (24s)25g
October 5+30.2pt97%October 4+1.0pt94%October 2-2.5pt93%+28 daha fazla sonuç
Düşük kalite (47)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$287,7 B
24s Hacim$55,8 B
POLYMARKET
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
7s
Above 1098%Above 1595%Above 20+4.0pt90%+8 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$347,4 B
24s Hacim$35,2 B
KALSHI
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)2ay
December 31,-1.0pt47%November 30,-0.5pt34%October 31,+1.0pt20%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$584 B
24s Hacim$19,5 B
POLYMARKET
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
2ay
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium13%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)-1.5pt13%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Orta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$1,2 Mn
24s Hacim$7,6 B
POLYMARKET
Will Ukraine target Moscow on?
47.0 puan (24s)25g
October 5+47.0pt100%October 7+11.0pt62%October 9+7.5pt52%+26 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (66)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$99,4 B
24s Hacim$96 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
0.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-0.5pt11%October 31-0.1pt3%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$531,5 B
24s Hacim$11,5 B
POLYMARKET
Israel military action against Lebanon on?
8.5 puan (24s)25g
October 5+8.5pt98%October 6+4.0pt95%October 4+0.6pt94%+27 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (56)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$95,5 B
24s Hacim$71,6 B
POLYMARKET
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
2ay
Before Jan 20, 202941%Before 2027+3.0pt18%Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$588,7 B
24s Hacim$6,6 B
KALSHI
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?
1.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31-1.5pt21%October 31+2.0pt11%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$118,2 B
24s Hacim$36,1 B
POLYMARKET
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
2.0 puan (24s)7s
Above 4-2.0pt93%Above 6-5.0pt27%Above 8+1.0pt5%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$117,9 B
24s Hacim$24 B
KALSHI
Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
25g
September 30100%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (≤74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$160,3 B
24s Hacim$17 B
POLYMARKET
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
2.3 puan (24s)13g
Evet3%-2.3pt
Hayır97%+2.3pt
Yüksek kalite (81)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$337,2 B
24s Hacim$6 B
POLYMARKET
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by which date?
12.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31+12.5pt31%October 31+13.1pt18%+1 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (65)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$80,4 B
24s Hacim$26,9 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia target Kyiv on?
6.2 puan (24s)25g
October 6+6.2pt100%October 1496%October 1596%+28 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (73)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$156,8 B
24s Hacim$10,3 B
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
2ay
December 318%October 31-0.2pt3%+5 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$18 Mn
24s Hacim$1,4 B
POLYMARKET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
0.1 puan (24s)2ay
December 31+0.1pt3%+2 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (68)Dar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$7,8 Mn
24s Hacim$2,1 B
POLYMARKET
Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
0.5 puan (24s)2ay
December 31,+0.5pt6%+3 daha fazla sonuç
Orta kalite (67)Orta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$5,5 Mn
24s Hacim$2,5 B
POLYMARKET
USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by which date?
2ay
December 3174%November 30-3.0pt60%November 15-2.0pt52%Orta kalite (64)Geniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$34,9 B
24s Hacim$27,7 B
POLYMARKET