PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
800–900B 35.3%+0.5pt8 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3 B
Likidite
₺234,3 B
Orta likiditeSpread
13.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-2.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
26 Şub 26 00:27 UTC28 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
US trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2027
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2031
KalshiWill the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketEU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau.
Açık piyasalar
Trade PolicyKALSHIWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Before 2027-0.7pt5%
- Before August0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺115,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3157.5%
- October 31-5.0pt29.2%
- September 3013.3%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
- Before Dec 1, 202657%
- Before Jan 1, 202755%
- Before Nov 1, 202652%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺263,8 B
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
- Before Jan 1, 202762%
- Before Nov 1, 202658%
- Before Dec 1, 202658%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺249,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺249,1 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt27%
- October 31-1.0pt12%
- September 306%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
- No85%
- Yes15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺164,3 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺164,3 B
- Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
- US x Cuba economic deal by which date?
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
Sık sorulan sorular
- US Trade Deficit in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 800–900B için 35% fiyatlıyor.
- US Trade Deficit in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- US Trade Deficit in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 28 Şubat 2027.
- US Trade Deficit in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.