Trade Policy
Trade Policy için kaynaklar arasında izlenen 117 ilgili piyasa.
Açık Piyasalar
68
Toplam Hacim
$8,789,230
24s Hacim
$23,922
Toplam Likidite
$2,560,047
İlgili Kripto Varlıkları
İlgili Rehberler
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
0.2%5ay
+0.2%7%
0%
0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$2,4 Mn
24s Hacim$5,7 B
KALSHI
Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
3.0%1ay
-2.5%63%
-1.0%55%
-3.0%34%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$1,3 Mn
24s Hacim$12,1 B
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
1.0%2y
-1.0%82%
+3.1%6%
+1.7%5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$1,5 Mn
24s Hacim$986,7
KALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
0.3%5ay
89%
11%
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$166,4 B
24s Hacim$1,2 B
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by which date?
0.1%5ay
+0.5%9%
+0.8%3%
-0.1%0%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$850,8 B
24s Hacim$496,6
POLYMARKET
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
5ay
31%
-0.5%4%
80 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$108,5 B
24s Hacim$884,5
KALSHI
Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?
1y
86.8%
13.2%
Topluluk tahmini68 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
2.5%5ay
+2.0%23%
+1.0%19%
-2.5%17%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim$359,2 B
24s Hacim$144,8
POLYMARKET
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0%4g
+0.5%95%
+1.0%95%
+9.0%72%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$9,5 B
24s Hacim$1,2 B
POLYMARKET
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
14.5%1y
+14.5%34%
-0.5%17%
68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$12,1 B
24s Hacim$722,5
POLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by July 31?
0.7%5g
+0.0%98%
-0.0%2%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$93,5 B
24s Hacim$123,2
POLYMARKETWill more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
5ay
92.2%
7.8%
Topluluk tahmini38 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will Air Canada say during their next earnings call?
7.0%5ay
93%
71%
61%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$9,3 B
24s Hacim$206,9
KALSHIWill tariff refunds be given out to a majority who paid them?
2y
61.1%
38.9%
Topluluk tahmini29 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
2.0%2y
81%
+2.0%19%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$67,9 B
24s Hacim$0,5
KALSHI
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
5ay
82%
18%
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$29,8 B
24s Hacim$38,7
KALSHIWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
2y
100%
100%
79%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini102 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4g
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$25,3 B
24s Hacim$21
KALSHIWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
5ay
89.8%
10.2%
Topluluk tahmini39 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
7ay
48%
-2.5%25%
19%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$23,8 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKETWill at least three more U.S. states impose special electricity tariffs on data centers before Jan 1, 2028?
1y
73.7%
26.3%
Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
5ay
44%
28%
20%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$27,4 B
24s Hacim$0
KALSHI
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
2y
57%
43%
40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$24 B
24s Hacim$0
KALSHI
South Korea exports YoY for July
5g
95%
83%
53%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$18,5 B
24s Hacim$0
KALSHI
Will new tariffs become law?
3ay
35%
27%
1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$9,3 B
24s Hacim$35,2
KALSHI
US trade deficit for 2026?
7ay
82%
6%
5%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
44 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim$13,3 B
24s Hacim$0
KALSHI
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
2.3%1ay
+0.0%99%
-0.0%1%
24 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$153,4 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKET
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by which date?
0.3%5ay
+5.0%54%
-12.5%19%
-0.3%0%
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$46,7 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKET
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
8.0%5ay
+0.1%62%
-0.1%39%
40 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim$8,8 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKET
US tariff revenue for 2026
10ay
91%
90%
88%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim$8,4 B
24s Hacim$0
KALSHIWill Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
2ay
89.9%
10.1%
Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
1.0%5ay
+0.0%85%
-0.0%16%
24 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$1,8 B
24s Hacim$0
POLYMARKETWill the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?
1y
61.7%
38.3%
Topluluk tahmini7 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
0.5%5ay
-0.5%64%
-0.3%0%
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$44,8 B
24s Hacim$5,1
POLYMARKET$100k fee imposed on H1B Visas?
2y
88%
12%
Topluluk tahmini146 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
2y
50%
50%
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$33,7
24s Hacim$0
FUTUURWill the US and Brazil close a rare earths deal in 2026?
5ay
71%
29%
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$9,4
24s Hacim$0
FUTUUR
What will Snapchat say during their next earnings call?
5ay
55%
54%
50%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$646,4
24s Hacim$11
KALSHIFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
5ay
55.5%
44.5%
Topluluk tahmini25 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
5.0%24g
65%
-5.0%35%
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$801,4
24s Hacim$4,8
KALSHIWhat major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?
11ay
22.3%
5.9%
5.7%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
5ay
57%
6%
0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
40 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$601
24s Hacim$0
KALSHIWill US impose new tariffs on Spain by end of July 2026?
5g
90.5%
9.5%
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
5ay
-12.0%50%
27%
0%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim$519
24s Hacim$2
KALSHIWill Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on Canada ever go in effect?
2y
61%
39%
Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US impose 50% secondary tariffs on any Iran weapons supplier by July 31, 2026?
5g
90.1%
9.9%
Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
5ay
65%
35%
Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSIndonesia and Laos supply >40% of US solar imports by June 30, 2026?
2ay
71.3%
28.7%
Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS