What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Ticaret PolitikasıOne-OffÇinAvrupa2ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
10% or above · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
10% or above 95.5%6 seçenek arasında lider
10% or above 95.5%Piyasa kalitesi
36 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$1,9 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
— / —
10% or aboveSpread
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Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Tem 26 16:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
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- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · 10% or above
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiUS tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsU.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United StatesWhite HouseBloomberg NewsNBC
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect. Examples (for date = Jan 1, 2026): India: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50% China: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20% European Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326) Falkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)
Her sonucun kuralı
- 10% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 100%, then the market resolves to Yes.