Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
1.0 puan (24s)One-OffJeopolitikRussia / UkraineEurope3ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31, 6%-1.0pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
69 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺53,7 B
Likidite
₺3,2 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
64
7g Değişim
-0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce güncellendi
28 May 25 22:16 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
