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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
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  3. China x Japan military clash before 2027?
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

One-OffJeopolitikChina6ay
PolymarketPolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet
Evet 10%
Piyasa kalitesi

64 / 100

Orta kalite
24s Hacim

₺21,2 B

Likidite

₺1,8 Mn

Yüksek likidite
Alis / Satis

9.0% / 10.0%

Spread

11.1%

Geniş spread
7g Değişim

+1.0%

Piyasa verileri

8 dakika önce guncellendi

18 Kas 25 15:5031 Ara 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes10%

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.

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Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Japan between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Japanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is not.