PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkJohn Brennan 28%-0.5%24 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
64 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺21,2 B
Likidite
₺10 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
3.3% / 3.9%
Spread
18.2%
Geniş spread7g Değişim
+1.3%
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce guncellendi
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
John Brennan28%
Platformları karşılaştır· John Brennan
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%76 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 36% | +8pt | ₺74,3 B | ₺17 Mn | 15 dakika önce | Aç → |
| PolymarketBu sayfa | Orta | 28% | 0pt | ₺21,2 B | ₺10 Mn | 15 dakika önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be arrested in 2026?
0.3%5ay
36%
+5.0%26%
23%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺48,9 Mn
24s Hacim₺74,3 B
KALSHIKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$4492 Tem25g veri26 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.