PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
John Brennan 22%+1.0pt24 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
70 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺29,2 B
Likidite
₺17,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
13
7g Değişim
-3.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 dakika önce güncellendi
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
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KalshiDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
Sık sorulan sorular
- Who will be arrested before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla John Brennan için 22% fiyatlıyor.
- Who will be arrested before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Who will be arrested before 2027? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.