KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBarack Obama 6%+0.3%24 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
91 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺74,3 B
Likidite
₺17 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
6.0% / 6.1%
Spread
1.7%
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
19 dakika önce guncellendi
23 Tem 25 14:001 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Barack Obama6%
Platformları karşılaştır· John Brennan
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Yüksek | 36% | +8pt | ₺74,3 B | ₺17 Mn | 19 dakika önce | |
 Polymarket%76 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 28% | 0pt | ₺21,2 B | ₺10,5 Mn | 19 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be arrested before 2027?
0.3%
-0.5%28%
-6.0%26%
20%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺10,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺21,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$1.6k2 Tem25g veri26 Tem
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.