KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkJohn Brennan 49%25 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺416
Likidite
₺250,1 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
48.0% / 51.0%
Spread
6.3%
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
1 dakika önce guncellendi
23 Tem 25 14:001 Oca 27 4:59
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
John Brennan49%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+15.5%51%
+14.0%43%
-6.0%42%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺5,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺6,5 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.