China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES only if:
- • Chinese and Japanese military or paramilitary forces (PLA, JMSDF/JGSDF/JASDF, China Coast Guard, Japan Coast Guard) engage in direct armed or physical confrontation, and
- • At least one person from one side is physically injured or killed by the actions of the other side.
- Cross-party requirement:
- • Injuries or deaths must be caused by the opposing side.
