Economy | Tahmin Piyasaları

Fed Decision in September?

1.0 puan (24s)6g

25 bps increase

53%

No change

-1.0pt46%

50+ bps increase

+0.3pt1%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

CoinRithm referansı25 bps increase54%· 1 puan venue farkı

Yüksek kalite (≤89)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$105,9 Mn

24s Hacim$1,9 Mn

POLYMARKET

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 2.7%

+1.0pt99%

Above 2.9%

99%

Above 2.5%

99%

+23 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (≤74)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$663,4 B

24s Hacim$50,6 B

KALSHI

CPI in August

2.0 puan (24s)1g

Above 0.1%

+2.0pt99%

Above -0.4%

+1.0pt99%

Above -0.3%

99%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (≤74)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$418,2 B

24s Hacim$41,9 B

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

Hayır

76%

Evet

24%

Yüksek kalite (84)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$366,1 B

24s Hacim$11,1 B

KALSHI

Recession this year?

4ay

Hayır

96%

Evet

Yüksek kalite (85)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$3,4 Mn

24s Hacim$2,9 B

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2026?

3ay

Hayır

92.1%

Evet

7.9%

CoinRithm referansıHayır92%· 3 puan venue farkı

Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,7 Mn

24s Hacim$3,7 B

POLYMARKET

United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026

3.0 puan (24s)7ay

Above -5.5% of GDP

-3.0pt93%

Above -5.0% of GDP

-6.0pt90%

Above -4.5% of GDP

80%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (67)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,2 B

24s Hacim$15,8 B

KALSHI

Germany’s government budget balance in 2026

4.0 puan (24s)7ay

Above -5.0% of GDP

-4.0pt93%

Above -4.5% of GDP

-10.0pt84%

Above -4.0% of GDP

+1.0pt51%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (69)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$17,6 B

24s Hacim$15 B

KALSHI

CPI core in August

3.0 puan (24s)1g

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

+5.0pt86%

Above 0.2%

-3.0pt33%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$21,6 B

24s Hacim$8,8 B

KALSHI

US government budget balance in 2026

5.0 puan (24s)7ay

Above -9.0% of GDP

98%

Above -8.5% of GDP

-5.0pt92%

Above -8.0% of GDP

-15.0pt71%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (68)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,8 B

24s Hacim$8,6 B

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

21g

Hayır

98%

Evet

Orta kalite (58)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$712,9 B

24s Hacim$2,1 B

KALSHI

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

2.0 puan (24s)1y

Hayır

81%

Evet

+2.0pt19%

Yüksek kalite (77)Dar spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$25,9 Mn

24s Hacim$370,6

KALSHI

CPI in September

9.0 puan (24s)1ay

Above -0.3%

+1.0pt98%

Above -0.4%

97%

Above -0.2%

+1.0pt96%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (59)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$88,4 B

24s Hacim$5 B

KALSHI

Japan’s government budget balance in 2026

1.0 puan (24s)7ay

Above -3.0% of GDP

97%

Above -3.5% of GDP

-1.0pt96%

Above -2.0% of GDP

58%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (65)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$5,8 B

24s Hacim$5,7 B

KALSHI

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

1.0 puan (24s)7ay

Above 447,500 jobs

-1.0pt96%

Above 450,000 jobs

-1.0pt94%

Above 452,500 jobs

84%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (64)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$106,5 B

24s Hacim$1,4 B

KALSHI

State of the economy at the end of 2026

2.7 puan (24s)4ay

Soft landing

+0.1pt57.8%

Overheating

-2.7pt34.3%

Stagflation

5.9%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Yüksek kalite (75)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$88,9 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

6.0 puan (24s)22g

Above -25,000

94%

Above 0

85%

Above 10,000

82%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (63)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$32,9 B

24s Hacim$2,8 B

KALSHI

Unemployment in September

5.0 puan (24s)22g

Above 3.7%

+1.0pt96%

Above 3.8%

+1.0pt93%

Above 3.9%

+5.0pt91%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$34,5 B

24s Hacim$1,9 B

KALSHI

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

7.5 puan (24s)1ay

4.3-4.6%

+7.5pt54.1%

4.6-4.9%

-8.0pt26.5%

4.0-4.3%

-0.3pt18.4%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (72)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$35,4 B

24s Hacim$1,7 B

POLYMARKET

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

1.0 puan (24s)1ay

Above 3.0%

96%

Above 3.1%

86%

Above 3.2%

77%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (44)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$20,3 B

24s Hacim$2,6 B

KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?

2.0 puan (24s)22g

Exactly 4.1%

-2.0pt29%

Exactly 4.2%

+1.0pt29%

Exactly 4.0%

13%

+20 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (60)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$18,2 B

24s Hacim$1,6 B

KALSHI

France’s government budget balance in 2026

7ay

Above -6.5% of GDP

96%

Above -6.0% of GDP

-5.0pt92%

Above -5.0% of GDP

-1.0pt31%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (63)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$7,2 B

24s Hacim$3,1 B

KALSHI

2026: Trump's dream year?

0.1 puan (24s)1y

Hayır

95%

Evet

-0.1pt5%

Yüksek kalite (76)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$570,1 B

24s Hacim$455,6

KALSHI

China’s government budget balance in 2026

7ay

Above -9.0% of GDP

96%

Above -9.5% of GDP

-3.0pt94%

Above -8.0% of GDP

+3.0pt28%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$4,6 B

24s Hacim$1,9 B

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

2.0 puan (24s)1ay

Above 0.0%

96%

Above 1.0%

+4.0pt88%

Above 0.5%

86%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (67)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$124 B

24s Hacim$754,1

KALSHI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

8.0 puan (24s)4ay

Soft Landing

-8.0pt48.5%

Overheating

+5.0pt47.5%

Stagflation

+0.6pt4%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (46)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$81,6 B

24s Hacim$613,8

POLYMARKET

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

19g

<0.0%

47%

0.0 to 0.1%

32%

0.2 to 0.3%

26%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (51)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$2 B

POLYMARKET

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

2ay

0.0% to 0.2%

29.1%

0.3% to 0.5%

20.4%

0.9% to 1.1%

11.7%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (65)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$2 B

POLYMARKET

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Above 2.1%

97%

Above 2.2%

+2.0pt95%

Above 2.3%

63%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (42)Spread bilinmiyorYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$45,1 B

24s Hacim$510,3

KALSHI

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

7.0 puan (24s)1ay

≥3.0%

+7.0pt38.2%

2.0–2.5%

-0.5pt23.6%

2.5–3.0%

-1.0pt20.9%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (65)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$25,1 B

24s Hacim$902,2

POLYMARKET

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

5.5 puan (24s)1ay

1.0-1.2%

49.1%

0.7-0.9%

18.5%

1.3%+

16.7%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (42)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$34,2 B

24s Hacim$314,9

POLYMARKET

China unemployment rate in August

17.0 puan (24s)6g

Above 4.7%

99%

Above 4.8%

99%

Above 4.9%

99%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (49)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$22,3 B

24s Hacim$393,3

KALSHI

How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

13.0 puan (24s)4ay

Above 600

98%

Above 550

95%

Above 650

92%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (38)Spread bilinmiyorOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$10 B

24s Hacim$590

KALSHI

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

2.5 puan (24s)2ay

0.2–0.3%

39.6%

0.4–0.5%

24.5%

0.0–0.1%

+2.5pt21.7%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (54)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$18,9 B

24s Hacim$254,7

POLYMARKET

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

4.0 puan (24s)6ay

Above $4.0 trillion

-4.0pt91%

Above $4.1 trillion

86%

Above $4.2 trillion

69%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (39)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$9 B

24s Hacim$500

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in August

4.0 puan (24s)15g

Above 2.6%

88%

Above 2.8%

+4.0pt80%

Above 2.7%

-10.0pt61%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (38)Geniş spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$5 B

24s Hacim$891,7

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2027?

4.0 puan (24s)1y

Hayır

-4.0pt68.3%

Evet

+4.0pt31.7%

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$7,7 B

24s Hacim$503,6

POLYMARKET

September Unemployment Rate

2.5 puan (24s)22g

4.1%

-2.5pt28.2%

4.2%

+4.0pt28.2%

4.0%

+0.5pt17.1%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (58)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$3,9 B

24s Hacim$820,3

POLYMARKET

2026: Trump's bad year?

2.1 puan (24s)1y

Hayır

96%

Evet

-2.1pt4%

Orta kalite (68)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$253 B

24s Hacim$103,7

KALSHI

How many jobs added in September?

6.5 puan (24s)23g

0 to 50k

26.2%

50k to 100k

+5.5pt26.2%

150k to 200k

+6.5pt12.2%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (60)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,9 B

24s Hacim$305,9

POLYMARKET

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Hayır

74%

Evet

26%

Orta kalite (65)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$177,7 B

24s Hacim$116

KALSHI

Australia unemployment rate in August

14g

Above 4.0%

98%

Above 4.2%

89%

Above 4.3%

88%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (39)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,7 B

24s Hacim$302,8

KALSHI

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

6.0 puan (24s)1ay

0.8-1.1%

+0.5pt56.4%

1.2-1.5%

+6.0pt25.7%

0.4-0.7%

-2.5pt14.8%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (44)Geniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$60,7 B

24s Hacim$173,2

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0.5 puan (24s)4ay

0-1.0%

-1.4pt50.5%

1.0-2.0%

+0.5pt49.5%

<0%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$40,2 B

24s Hacim$104,3

POLYMARKET

Brazil unemployment rate in August

20g

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.3%

48%

Above 5.4%

17%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (50)Orta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$12,4 B

24s Hacim$200

KALSHI

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

0.7 puan (24s)5ay

Evet

-0.7pt95%

Hayır

Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$31,5 Mn

24s Hacim$54,4

KALSHI

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

3.1 puan (24s)4ay

Above 4.5%

16%

Above 4.8%

Above 5.5%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$758,2 B

24s Hacim$92,2

KALSHI

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

0.1 puan (24s)4ay

4.0–5.0%

90.9%

5.0–6.0%

-0.3pt6.1%

3.0–4.0%

+0.1pt1%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Dar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$897,9 B

24s Hacim$37,2

POLYMARKET

Ekonomi

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Fed Decision in September?

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

CPI in August

Recession in 2027?

Recession this year?

US recession by end of 2026?

United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026

Germany’s government budget balance in 2026

CPI core in August

US government budget balance in 2026

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

CPI in September

Japan’s government budget balance in 2026

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Unemployment in September

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?

France’s government budget balance in 2026

2026: Trump's dream year?

China’s government budget balance in 2026

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

China unemployment rate in August

How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Mexico unemployment rate in August

US recession by end of 2027?

September Unemployment Rate

2026: Trump's bad year?

How many jobs added in September?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Australia unemployment rate in August

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Brazil unemployment rate in August

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Aranan piyasalar

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?