PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkEvet 20%+0.0%
Piyasa kalitesi
80 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺169,6 B
Likidite
₺1,3 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Orta spread7g Değişim
+1.0%
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce guncellendi
29 Eyl 25 22:2931 Oca 27 0:00
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
Yes20%
Limitless üzerinde de mevcut
US recession by end of 2026?
7ay
19.5%
80.5%
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺152,1 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
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Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met:
- The seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q2 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive), as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
- The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) publicly announces that a recession has occurred in the United States, at any point during 2025 or 2026, with the announcement made by the time the BEA releases the advance estimate for Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that advance estimates will be considered.
- For example, if upon release, the advance estimate for Q3 2025 was negative, and the Q2 2025's most recent, up-to-date estimate was also negative, this market would resolve to "Yes".