Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83.7%
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KalshiKurallar
Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/2621/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- Real GDP Annual Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.3% from 1930 until 2017, reaching an all time high of 8.7% in 1950 and a record low of -3.90% in the second quarter of 2009.
- This question asks: *In any year before Q1 2030, will the US record real GDP annual growth rate of greater than 8.7%, beating the record set in 1950?*
- For the purpose of this question, we shall refer to Real GDP in terms of percent change from preceding year, as provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, or other reputable sources of economic data.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺75,8 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺31,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,9 Mn
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺620 B
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-4.0pt56%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺678,5 B
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺997,4 B
- CPI in September
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2030.
- [Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?