KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 74%
Piyasa kalitesi
65 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺5,6 B
Likidite
₺1,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
23.1% / 25.9%
Spread
2.8 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ara 24 15:00 UTC26 Oca 29 13:25 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many assassination attempts will there be on Trump during his presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next big economic crash occur?
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiKurallar
If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- **Important information:** An 'economic boom' is defined as any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 having GDP growth of above 5%.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt52.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺90,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,6 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺921,5 B
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP-23.0pt51%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No76%
- Yes+3.0pt24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺554,2 B
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 26 Ocak 2029.
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.