KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 78%+0.6pt
Piyasa kalitesi
78 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺51,1 B
Likidite
₺5,6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
77.8% / 78.9%
Spread
1.1 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Kas 25 15:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiKurallar
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺132,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No52%
- Yes48%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI+1.6pt18.4%
- Google-1.0pt5.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-25.0pt62.7%
- Above 9-42.0pt11.8%
- Above 10-6.0pt10.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 202769.7%
- 202621.2%
- September 30, 20269.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺788,5 B
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺56,2 Mn
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- #3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.