KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkBefore May 1, 2027 43%+18.0%13 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
100 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺297,9 B
Likidite
₺10,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
2.4%
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce guncellendi
26 Mar 26 0:001 May 27 3:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Before May 1, 202743%
Platformları karşılaştır· Before 2028
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Yüksek | 68% | — | ₺297,9 B | ₺10,8 Mn | 8 dakika önce | |
 Polymarket%90 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 19% | — | ₺65,9 B | ₺1,7 Mn | 8 dakika önce | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
5ay
+0.5%19%
10%
-0.1%0%
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺41,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺65,9 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$1.5k83.0%POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? — Novinii4 gün önce
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If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.