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Tüzel Kişilik
Bees-x Limited
Şirket Numarası
13308136
Kuruluş Yeri
England and Wales
Kayıtlı Ofis
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm, Bees-x Limited tarafından işletilen bir bilgi ve araştırma hizmetidir. Düzenlenmiş faaliyetleri yürütmek üzere Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tarafından yetkilendirilmemiştir ve bu sitedeki hiçbir içerik finansal tavsiye değildir.

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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. Bilim
  3. Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

One-OffBilim9ay
PolymarketPolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet
Evet 10%
Piyasa kalitesi

40 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺310 B

Orta likidite
Alis / Satis

9.0% / 10.0%

Spread

11.1%

Geniş spread
7g Değişim

-1.5%

Piyasa verileri

2 dakika önce guncellendi

29 Ara 25 23:2731 Mar 27 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes10%

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
  • Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
  • If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
  • Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.

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Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
  • Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
  • If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
  • Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.