Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

0.5 puan (24s)WeatherOne-OffBilim8ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Hayır 96%+0.0pt

Piyasa kalitesi

70 / 100

Orta kalite

24s Hacim

₺14 B

Likidite

₺471,1 B

Orta likidite

Alis / Satis

4.0% / 4.8%

Spread

0.8 pt

Dar spread

7g Değişim

-0.5 pts

Piyasa verileri

5 dakika önce guncellendi

29 Ara 25 23:2531 Mar 27 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes4%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.

Hacim trendi

$295

3 Tem25g veri28 Tem

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

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Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

₺347,8 B

Above 125: 28%

KALSHI

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

₺72,1 B

Evet: 5%

KALSHI

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

₺20,8 B

Evet: 43%

KALSHI

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

₺0

Evet: 4%

POLYMARKET

Natural Disaster in 2026?

₺1,3 B

Evet: 21%

POLYMARKET

Bu konularda aktif

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Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

0.5 puan (24s)WeatherOne-OffBilim8ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Hayır 96%+0.0pt

Piyasa kalitesi

70 / 100

Orta kalite

24s Hacim

₺14 B

Likidite

₺471,1 B

Orta likidite

Alis / Satis

4.0% / 4.8%

Spread

0.8 pt

Dar spread

7g Değişim

-0.5 pts

Piyasa verileri

5 dakika önce guncellendi

29 Ara 25 23:2531 Mar 27 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Yes4%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.

Hacim trendi

$295

3 Tem25g veri28 Tem

İlgili Piyasalar

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

₺536,8 B

2: 54%

POLYMARKET

Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

₺347,8 B

Above 125: 28%

KALSHI

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

₺72,1 B

Evet: 5%

KALSHI

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

₺20,8 B

Evet: 43%

KALSHI

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

₺0

Evet: 4%

POLYMARKET

Natural Disaster in 2026?

₺1,3 B

Evet: 21%

POLYMARKET

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$63,357.27-2.61%

EthereumETH$1,880.67-3.18%

SolanaSOL$73.44-3.68%

XRPXRP$1.06-3.95%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0699-3.90%

BNBBNB$566.19-1.10%

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Crypto is the canary in the coal mine for the quantum computing threat, experts sayCoindesk

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Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural volcanic eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 6 or higher occurs between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the ‘VEI 6’ figure for 2026 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear) as of March 31, 2027, 12 PM ET.
Any prior updates will not be considered finalized.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant events by March 31, 2027, or if the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS), national or regional volcanic observatories, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus.