Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

One-OffBilim Weather6ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücret

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 8%

Piyasa kalitesi

24 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺4 B

Düşük likidite

Alis / Satis

5.0% / 10.0%

Spread

100.0%

Geniş spread

7g Değişim

+0.5%

Piyasa verileri

5 dakika önce guncellendi

21 Nis 26 19:4131 Ara 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes8%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vesuvius volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 1 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred.
If there is an ongoing Vesuvius eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.

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Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vesuvius volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 1 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred.
If there is an ongoing Vesuvius eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

One-OffBilim Weather6ay

PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücret

Güncel ima edilen olasılık

Evet 8%

Piyasa kalitesi

24 / 100

Düşük kalite

24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺4 B

Düşük likidite

Alis / Satis

5.0% / 10.0%

Spread

100.0%

Geniş spread

7g Değişim

+0.5%

Piyasa verileri

5 dakika önce guncellendi

21 Nis 26 19:4131 Ara 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes8%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vesuvius volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 1 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred.
If there is an ongoing Vesuvius eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.

İlgili Piyasalar

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

₺193,1 B

2: 63%

POLYMARKET

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

₺45,2 B

432 or less: 0.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Natural Disaster in 2026?

₺2 B

Evet: 25%

POLYMARKET

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

₺62,5

Before Jul 1, 2026: 70%

KALSHI

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

₺15

At least 440: 89%

KALSHI

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

₺4,5

Evet: 77%

KALSHI

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$62,864.49+2.26%

EthereumETH$1,657.62+1.62%

SolanaSOL$65.26+1.54%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.47%

BNBBNB$596.58+1.81%

İlgili Haberler

Anthropic’s Claude Tackles Chemistry with NMR Structure AnalysisBlockchain.News

Quantus’ Q-Day Brings Together Leading Cryptographers, Blockchain Builders, Investors, and Researchers to Prepare for the Post-Quantum FutureBlockchain Reporter

Kurallar

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vesuvius volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 1 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred.
If there is an ongoing Vesuvius eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.