Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%
Piyasa kalitesi
40 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺29,3 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
0.5% / 7.9%
Spread
7.4 pt
Geniş spread7g Değişim
+3.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
20 dakika önce guncellendi
21 Nis 26 19:3531 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes4%
Hacim trendi
$514 Tem8g veri26 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vesuvius volcano erupts with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 1 or greater between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), including the 2026 eruptions page (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear&checkyear=2026).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying eruption occurs, or once December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed and no qualifying eruption has occurred.
- If there is an ongoing Vesuvius eruption at that time, this market may remain open for an additional 14 calendar days to verify the VEI rating of the ongoing eruption.
- If the Smithsonian GVP becomes permanently unavailable, or if an ongoing eruption has not been assigned a VEI rating within 14 calendar days of December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible scientific sources, including the U.S.