Base

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

0.5 puan (24s)1y

$2B+0.5pt39%

$500M-3.0pt39%

$1B38%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (71)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$878,2 B

24s Hacim$6,3 B

POLYMARKET

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

4.0 puan (24s)1y

December 31, 2027+4.0pt45%

June 30, 202720%

December 31, 20265%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Orta kalite (62)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$8,1 Mn

24s Hacim$1,5 B

POLYMARKET

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Nov 1 UTC?

6g

Evet11.7%

Hayır88.3%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Where will I live in October 2026?

6g

Menlo Park, CA72.2%

Stanford, CA5.3%

Berkeley, CA5.2%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini16 tahminciTür: multiple choice

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet80.3%

Hayır19.7%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary

10 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

1y

Evet5%

Hayır95%

Topluluk tahmini58 tahminciTür: binary

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?

2ay

70+100%

80+100%

90+100%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini28 tahminciTür: multiple choice

5 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

2ay

5–7 wins40.2%

8-9 wins30.2%

10-11 wins13.2%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: multiple choice

13 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]

3y

If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini74 tahminciTür: multiple choice

17 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

Before 203544.2%

2035 - 204524.1%

2045 - 206020.8%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini58 tahminciTür: multiple choice

15 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What is the base of the next nice number?

4y

111 - 12029.4%

121 - 12522.3%

101 - 11014.1%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: multiple choice

13 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?

2ay

United States11.7%

France5.5%

Canada4.5%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini19 tahminciTür: multiple choice

18 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?

3y

2.00% to 2.75%21.8%

3.00% to 3.75%21.8%

4.00% to 4.75%16.5%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: multiple choice

10 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Mauritius46.9%

United Kingdom25.7%

United States10%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: multiple choice

9 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

210028.5%

207521.7%

205014%

+9 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini32 tahminciTür: multiple choice

9 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?

9y

Evet67.8%

Hayır32.2%

Topluluk tahmini15 tahminciTür: binary

17 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?

OpenAI75.5%

Anthropic55%

Google (DeepMind)35%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: multiple choice

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

2ay

Evet1.9%

Hayır98.1%

Topluluk tahmini49 tahminciTür: binary

6 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

2ay

USA does not control whole of Greenland by EOY97%

Resolves 50% if the US owns <10sqkm of Greenland by EOY, otherwise, resolves to 5x the number of traders on this option.49%

Trump will say that he took control over Greenland, but Denmark will say no. As usual, Fox News will give airtime only to Trump’s speech.37.5%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini148 tahminciTür: multiple choice

6 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a moon base by 2030?

3y

Evet10%

Hayır90%

Topluluk tahmini46 tahminciTür: binary

3 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?

2ay

101-15093.8%

50-1003.4%

151-2001.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini55 tahminciTür: multiple choice

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

2ay

4.00%43.2%

3.75%25.5%

4.25%19.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: multiple choice

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

2ay

Neither by close date92%

China invades Taiwan first6%

U.S. invades/acquires Greenland first1.7%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini38 tahminciTür: multiple choice

8 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

2y

Pete Buttigieg59.3%

Josh Shapiro59.1%

Raphael Warnock58.1%

+21 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini32 tahminciTür: multiple choice

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

4y

Anthropic40.3%

OpenAI27.8%

Google13.8%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: multiple choice

13 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

1y

4.00%18%

4.25%17.1%

3.75%13%

+8 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini2 tahminciTür: multiple choice

13 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

1y

5.4100%

5.5100%

5.6100%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: multiple choice

13 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026

2ay

$12,000-$13,99932.2%

$14,000-$15,99918.1%

$10,000-$11,99916.9%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: multiple choice

14 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)

2ay

($71, $91]96.8%

More than $911.9%

[$61, $71]1%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini79 tahminciTür: multiple choice

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

2y

Any American receives it by end 2025100%

Any American receives it by end 2026100%

Limit set at or below 99th percentile wealth or income70.9%

+15 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini103 tahminciTür: multiple choice

5 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Nov 1 UTC?

Where will I live in October 2026?

Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

What is the base of the next nice number?

What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?

If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

Will there be a moon base by 2030?

How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026

How much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")