Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

baseOne-OffYZ4y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

16 Tem 2026 17:10 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%

7 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

9 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

29 Ağu 24 15:5831 Ara 30 18:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

OpenAI25%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Hacim trendi

$23

15 Tem2g veri16 Tem

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Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

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Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?

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Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

₺171,5 B

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

₺48,6 B

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of July?

₺14 Mn

Anthropic: 99%

POLYMARKET

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$64,352.02+0.53%

EthereumETH$1,881.73+1.35%

SolanaSOL$74.90+1.35%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.20%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.78%

BNBBNB$571.14+1.15%

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Kurallar

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

baseOne-OffYZ4y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

16 Tem 2026 17:10 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%

7 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

9 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

29 Ağu 24 15:5831 Ara 30 18:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

OpenAI25%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Hacim trendi

$23

15 Tem2g veri16 Tem

İlgili Piyasalar

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

₺61,7 B

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

₺8,9 B

5.4: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?

₺4,7 B

Evet: 5.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

₺171,5 B

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

₺48,6 B

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of July?

₺14 Mn

Anthropic: 99%

POLYMARKET

Bu konularda aktif

BitcoinBTC$64,352.02+0.53%

EthereumETH$1,881.73+1.35%

SolanaSOL$74.90+1.35%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.20%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.78%

BNBBNB$571.14+1.15%

İlgili Haberler

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News

Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe Block

Kurallar

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)