Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Sık sorulan sorular

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 28 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 89.1% fiyatlıyor.

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Bu piyasa için ücretsiz JSON, API anahtarı gerekmez:

Yapay zeka ajanları: CoinRithm MCP sunucusunda pm_data_event aracını çağırın:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+15.9pt46%
• Claude-14.9pt45%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt6.8%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺794,5 Mn

24s Hacim

₺11,1 Mn

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+15.0pt49.5%
• Anthropic-14.0pt42.6%
• OpenAI-0.1pt5.9%

+12 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-0.8pt95%
• December 15,+0.5pt93%
• November 30,-3.0pt88%

+15 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt29.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.5pt22.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.3pt16.4%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-8.9pt21%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.9pt19%
• $1.5T–$1.75T+0.9pt18%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt98%
• Anthropic-0.9pt2%
• Alibaba0%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Google market share this week
• DeepSeek market share this week
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?