Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 62%
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10
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Ağu 23 10:19 UTC1 Oca 00 22:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
Manifold MarketsHow many months will elapse between general availability of Level 5 self driving and the first strong AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhich company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
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