Güncel topluluk tahmini
Anthropic 28.9%13 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
57
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Mar 24 21:58 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Bu piyasa için sonuç kuralları henüz mevcut değil. Kaynak kuralları kaydedildiğinde bu bölüm sonraki yenilemelerde doldurulacak.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
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- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Anthropic için 29% fiyatlıyor.
- Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2101.