Benimsenme

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.8 puan (24s)2ay

Evet4%-0.8pt

Hayır96%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Orta kalite (74)Dar spreadYüksek açık pozisyonSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$198,5 B

24s Hacim$255

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2ay

Evet5%

Hayır95%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Düşük kalite (≤49)Dar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$65,3 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

2ay

Evet1%

Hayır99%

Düşük kalite (33)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$21,6 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2ay

Evet45.1%

Hayır54.9%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Düşük kalite (30)Spread bilinmiyorLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$9,9 B

24s Hacim—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

1ay

Evet8%

Hayır92%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Düşük kalite (30)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$391,2

24s Hacim—

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet9%

Hayır91%

Düşük kalite (32)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$154,1

24s Hacim—

FUTUUR

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

2ay

Evet4%

Hayır96%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

CoinRithm referansıHayır97%· 2 puan venue farkı

Düşük kalite (32)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$25

24s Hacim—

FUTUUR

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

3g

Evet58.1%

Hayır41.9%

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary

3 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

3y

Evet50.1%

Hayır49.9%

Topluluk tahmini15 tahminciTür: binary

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

4y

Evet11.3%

Hayır88.7%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

2y

Evet47.9%

Hayır52.1%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

3y

Evet65.5%

Hayır34.5%

Topluluk tahmini22 tahminciTür: binary

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Before 204766.2%

Before 204459%

Before 203250%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini2 tahminciTür: multiple choice

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

1y

Evet27.9%

Hayır72.1%

Topluluk tahmini14 tahminciTür: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

3y

Evet8.5%

Hayır91.5%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

18 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How long will my career be?

2036-204513%

2046-205513%

2056-206513%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini1 tahminciTür: multiple choice

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

2042-204719.6%

2048-205319.6%

2054-206019.6%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini2 tahminciTür: multiple choice

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

4y

Evet52%

Hayır48%

Topluluk tahmini326 tahminciTür: binary

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

3y

2030 or later62.8%

202956.9%

202851.5%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: multiple choice

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet52.5%

Hayır47.5%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

3y

Evet10.1%

Hayır89.9%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

3y

Evet20.7%

Hayır79.3%

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

9y

Evet47.5%

Hayır52.5%

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: binary

8 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

4y

Evet57.1%

Hayır42.9%

Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

4y

Evet33.2%

Hayır66.8%

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: binary

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

1y

Evet45.2%

Hayır54.8%

Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: binary

19 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

4y

Evet55%

Hayır45%

Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: binary

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

1y

Evet7.5%

Hayır92.5%

Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: binary

19 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

2y

Evet25%

Hayır75%

Topluluk tahmini7 tahminciTür: binary

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

4y

Evet85.5%

Hayır14.5%

Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary

9 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

8y

Evet59.9%

Hayır40.1%

Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

4y

Evet15.3%

Hayır84.7%

Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

2y

Evet31%

Hayır69%

Topluluk tahmini8 tahminciTür: binary

3 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

2ay

Evet49.2%

Hayır50.8%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

3y

Evet57.3%

Hayır42.7%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

19 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

4y

Evet79%

Hayır21%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: binary

4 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

4y

Evet38.3%

Hayır61.7%

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

1y

Evet41.4%

Hayır58.6%

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

8y

Evet18.7%

Hayır81.3%

Topluluk tahmini11 tahminciTür: binary

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet3.8%

Hayır96.2%

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary

20 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet9.9%

Hayır90.1%

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: binary

18 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

3y

Evet59.9%

Hayır40.1%

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: binary

19 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

13y

Evet82%

Hayır18%

Topluluk tahmini14 tahminciTür: binary

10 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2ay

Suriname22.9%

Kazakhstan14%

Cabo Verde10.9%

+26 daha fazla sonuç

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini64 tahminciTür: multiple choice

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

4y

Evet88.8%

Hayır11.2%

Topluluk tahmini14 tahminciTür: binary

11 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

2ay

Evet17.9%

Hayır82.1%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary

19 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

13y

Evet5.4%

Hayır94.6%

Topluluk tahmini16 tahminciTür: binary

10 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

1y

Evet6.2%

Hayır93.8%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

How long will my career be?

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

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