Adoption

Finance AI adoption in September

1ay

Above 73%

88%

Above 73.25%

Above 73.5%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (29)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$200

24s Hacim$200

KALSHI

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

3.0 puan (24s)3ay

Hayır

91%

Evet

+3.0pt9%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Orta kalite (64)Orta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$185,6 B

24s Hacim$13

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3ay

Hayır

94.1%

Evet

5.9%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

CoinRithm referansıHayır94%· 5 puan venue farkı

Orta kalite (60)Orta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$61 B

24s Hacim$1,3

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

3ay

Hayır

98%

Evet

Düşük kalite (≤49)Orta spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$21 B

24s Hacim—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3ay

Hayır

89.2%

Evet

10.8%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

CoinRithm referansıHayır94%· 5 puan venue farkı

Düşük kalite (30)Spread bilinmiyorLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$8,3 B

24s Hacim—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

3ay

Hayır

89%

Evet

11%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Düşük kalite (30)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$386,8

24s Hacim—

FUTUUR

Healthcare AI adoption in September

1ay

Above 43%

87%

Above 43.5%

Above 43.75%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (25)Geniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$50

24s Hacim$50

KALSHI

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

3ay

Hayır

93%

Evet

Düşük kalite (32)Spread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim$122,6

24s Hacim—

FUTUUR

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

1ay

Above 4.5%

Above 4.75%

Above 5%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Geniş spreadLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim—

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Hospitality AI adoption in September

1ay

Above 33%

Above 33.5%

Above 34%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Geniş spreadLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim—

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Tech sector AI adoption in September

1ay

Above 80.75%

Above 81%

Above 81.25%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Geniş spreadLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim—

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Manufacturing AI adoption in September

1ay

Above 61%

Above 61.5%

Above 61.75%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Geniş spreadLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim—

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

1ay

Above 56%

Above 56.2%

Above 56.4%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Düşük kalite (24)Geniş spreadLikidite bilinmiyorSığ piyasa

Toplam Hacim—

24s Hacim—

KALSHI

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

before the end of 2030

65%

before the end of 2029

58.9%

before the end of 2028

58%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini14 tahminciTür: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

20g

Hayır

84.6%

Evet

15.4%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Hayır

72.3%

Evet

27.7%

Topluluk tahmini30 tahminciTür: binary

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

14y

Hayır

84.2%

Evet

15.8%

Topluluk tahmini32 tahminciTür: binary

6 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Evet

52%

Hayır

48%

Topluluk tahmini23 tahminciTür: binary

5 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Evet

57.9%

Hayır

42.1%

Topluluk tahmini24 tahminciTür: binary

5 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Hayır

88.9%

Evet

11.1%

Topluluk tahmini20 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Hayır

85.9%

Evet

14.1%

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Hayır

61.1%

Evet

38.9%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

3ay

Evet

81%

Hayır

19%

Topluluk tahmini1 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Hayır

97.2%

Evet

2.8%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary

8 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

Evet

53.7%

Hayır

46.3%

Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: binary

9 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

Hayır

80%

Evet

20%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini33 tahminciTür: binary

10 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

6ay

Hayır

75%

Evet

25%

Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: binary

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

Evet

50%

Hayır

50%

Topluluk tahmini4 tahminciTür: binary

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

Evet

53.6%

Hayır

46.4%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

Evet

59.9%

Hayır

40.1%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

Evet

55%

Hayır

45%

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

14 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Hayır

89.5%

Evet

10.5%

Topluluk tahmini50 tahminciTür: binary

16 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Hayır

96.4%

Evet

3.6%

Topluluk tahmini27 tahminciTür: binary

17 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

13y

Hayır

79.1%

Evet

20.9%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

17 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Hayır

73.2%

Evet

26.8%

Topluluk tahmini72 tahminciTür: binary

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Hayır

80%

Evet

20%

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: binary

14 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Hayır

69.5%

Evet

30.5%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: binary

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Hayır

83%

Evet

17%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: binary

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

3ay

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

91.3%

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

81.4%

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

46.9%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: multiple choice

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Hayır

51.7%

Evet

48.3%

Topluluk tahmini74 tahminciTür: binary

1 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

3ay

Suriname

29.2%

Argentina

9.7%

Qatar

7.1%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini15 tahminciTür: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

Evet

57.6%

Hayır

42.4%

Topluluk tahmini3 tahminciTür: binary

2 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

1ay

Evet

65.3%

Hayır

34.7%

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

12 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Hayır

52.8%

Evet

47.2%

Topluluk tahmini324 tahminciTür: binary

5 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Hayır

72.4%

Evet

27.6%

Topluluk tahmini6 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

3ay

Evet

78%

Hayır

22%

Topluluk tahmini10 tahminciTür: binary

8 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Hayır

57.6%

Evet

42.4%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini39 tahminciTür: binary

7 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Hayır

54.9%

Evet

45.1%

İlgili Kriptolar

BTC

Topluluk tahmini33 tahminciTür: binary

17 saat önce

MANIFOLD MARKETS

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Finance AI adoption in September

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Healthcare AI adoption in September

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

Hospitality AI adoption in September

Tech sector AI adoption in September

Manufacturing AI adoption in September

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?