Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
One-OffBenimsenmeTeknoloji2gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 58.1%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli26 Haz 26 18:16 UTC30 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and October 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I successfully convince an individual whom I know or met in person (IRL) to create a Manifold Markets account and follow my profile.
- To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
- The individual must be someone I have interacted with in person (not an online-only contact).
- They must register a new Manifold Markets account and follow my profile during the specified timeframe.
- I will post the username of the referred user in the market comments to provide verification.
