Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 65.3%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Haz 26 18:16 UTC30 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsTech sector AI adoption in September
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiFinance AI adoption in September
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and October 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I successfully convince an individual whom I know or met in person (IRL) to create a Manifold Markets account and follow my profile.
- To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
- The individual must be someone I have interacted with in person (not an online-only contact).
- They must register a new Manifold Markets account and follow my profile during the specified timeframe.
- I will post the username of the referred user in the market comments to provide verification.
Açık piyasalar
AdoptionKALSHIFinance AI adoption in September
- Above 73%88%
- Above 73.25%0%
- Above 73.5%0%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,7 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,7 B
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.5%0%
- Above 43.75%0%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,4 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,4 B
KALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+3.0pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺630,9
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺64,5
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?
- before the end of 203065%
- before the end of 202958.9%
- before the end of 202858%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺83,7 B
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
- No84.6%
- Yes15.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺85 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
- xAI corporate adoption rate in September
- Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September
- Manufacturing AI adoption in September
- Hospitality AI adoption in September
- Tech sector AI adoption in September
- Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
- Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
- Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Ekim 2026.
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria