If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 57.3%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

3 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

22 Eki 23 21:35 UTC2 Oca 30 07:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Specifcally, the comparison is MAU's at the time of the grant compared to MAU's exactly 1 year later.

I made the title about me because I want this to reflect "people with opinions similar to mine about the correct growth strategy for Manifold to take".
In practice I'd be asking for advice from several other users and it'd be more of a grassroots activity than a solo one.
If Manifold provides such a grant to a group of users that includes me, I'll count that as satisfying the condition.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/if-manifold-does-not-give-me-a-1000)

Açık piyasalar