Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

KALSHI

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

• No94.5%
• Yes-2.0pt5.5%

Toplam Hacim

₺9,8 Mn

24s Hacim

₺2,5 B

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

• No92%
• Yes8%

Toplam Hacim

₺7,6 B

24s Hacim

₺1,6 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

• No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032+0.4pt51.3%
• Cybersecurity / cryptography-0.7pt20.1%
• Finance (portfolio optimization, risk, pricing)+0.1pt10.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

• Yes64%
• No36%

Toplam Hacim

₺3,9 B

24s Hacim

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this market reach 100 unique traders by October 26, 2026?

• No65%
• Yes35%

Toplam Hacim

₺10,8 B

24s Hacim

₺10,8 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

• Yes50.1%
• No49.9%

Toplam Hacim

₺55,8 B

24s Hacim

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