Güncel topluluk tahmini
No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032 59.8%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Oca 26 05:45 UTC7 Oca 27 05:41 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves based on which sector first demonstrates wide, real-world adoption of quantum computing for production (non-experimental) workloads.
- Resolution Criteria:
- • The market resolves YES for the first sector that meets the criteria above.
- • If no sector clearly meets the criteria by 31 December 2032, resolve to: “No sector shows ‘wide adoption’ by 31 Dec 2032.”
- • If multiple sectors advance, the earliest clear adoption wins.
- Academic-only usage or single-company pilots do not qualify as wide adoption.