Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 70.8%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Oca 23 18:00 UTC1 Oca 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Matt Levine, the Bloomberg opinion columnist.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations that I follow will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
- IMO, it will be key for Manifold to attract public figures and organizations; this will (i) provide pre-earned credibility for these accounts as market creators (which encourages trading), and (ii) will attract the follower base of these users to Manifold as traders.
Açık piyasalar
SportsPOLYMARKETLoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)+79.0pt100%
- Game 1 Winner+43.5pt100%
- Game 2 Winner+42.5pt100%
+60 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺285,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺273 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz-2.0pt56%
- Alexander Zverev+7.0pt28%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Real Madrid13.3%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R14.1%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺79,8 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MIL+44.0pt99%
- CHC-46.0pt1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺74,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺74,8 Mn
POLYMARKETGenoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- Ferrari Set 1 Winner60%
- Ferrari Set 2 Winner59%
- Ferrari Set Handicap +/-1.559%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺65,8 Mn
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox (Sep 7, 2026)
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 7, 2026)
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Matt Levine, the Bloomberg opinion columnist.