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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

2.0% (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 7%+2.0%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

100 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

12,3 mil €

Liquidez

152,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

6.7% / 6.8%

Spread

1.5%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-1.4%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

5/11/25, 19:1031/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
April 30
April 30
0%
June 30
June 30
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 317%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.