Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.4%
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Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado15/11/23, 13:59 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.
- Polling in various western countries tends to indicate that a generational shift is underway.
- A major tipping point in this shift will be when it is no longer domestically tenable for the US to officially provide military aid for Israel (e.g. supplying them with money/missiles as a regular budget item).
- Will this happen before January 1st, 2030?
- Edit: The US may still maintain diplomatic relations with Israel, recognize it as a state, consider it an ally, and even provide it with other kinds of foreign aid.
- This question will resolve solely on official military aid supporting Israel’s ability to wage war offensively and defensively (e.g. supplying monetary assistance for the purchase of weapons, and/or supplying those weapons directly, missiles for the Iron Dome, etc).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.