Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEurope2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77.8%
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado1/03/25, 03:14 UTC1/01/29, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 78% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? é resolvido?
- Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.